Chicago Cubs

56% win

pred 4.1

Shota Imanaga

FINAL

Seattle Mariners

44% win

pred 4.4

Emerson Hancock

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
CHC	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	6
SEA	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6

2024-04-13 T-Mobile Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Michael Busch	UTIL	17.0	$3.1k	5.5
Miguel Amaya	UTIL	14.0	$2.8k	5.0
Seiya Suzuki	UTIL	14.0	$4.7k	3.0
Luis Urías	UTIL	7.0	$2.7k	2.6
Emerson Hancock	UTIL	15.1	$7.5k	2.0
Shota Imanaga	UTIL	19.8	$10.0k	2.0
Mitch Haniger	UTIL	7.0	$3.7k	1.9
Jorge Polanco	UTIL	7.0	$4.1k	1.7
Yency Almonte	UTIL	6.3	$4.0k	1.6
Mark Leiter Jr.	UTIL	5.0	$4.0k	1.3
Dansby Swanson	UTIL	5.0	$4.1k	1.2
Mike Tauchman	UTIL	3.0	$3.7k	0.8
J.P. Crawford	UTIL	3.0	$3.8k	0.8
Cal Raleigh	UTIL	3.0	$3.8k	0.8
Mitch Garver	UTIL	3.0	$4.0k	0.8
Austin Voth	UTIL	5.9	$8.4k	0.7
Nico Hoerner	UTIL	2.0	$4.0k	0.5
Tyson Miller	UTIL	3.7	$8.4k	0.4
Adbert Alzolay	UTIL	3.7	$8.7k	0.4
Héctor Neris	UTIL	0.1	$4.0k	0.0

Best Bets

Chicago Cubs

ML ★★ · +8.9% edge

+105 · $200 bet · $210 profit

Model: 56% vs Market: 47%

WIN

Predictions

Chicago Cubs

ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 47%

+105 · $105 per $100

WIN

Chicago Cubs +1.5

RL · 1.2 off line

-205 · $49 per $100

WIN

OVER 8.0

TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 8.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Chicago Cubs ML + Chicago Cubs +1.5 + OVER 8.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+482 · $482 per $100

LOSS

CHC 56% 44% SEA

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	82.0%	18.0%
6.5	74.7%	25.3%
7.5	65.1%	34.9%
8.5	57.7%	42.3%
9.5	47.8%	52.2%
10.5	40.1%	59.9%
11.5	31.3%	68.7%
12.5	24.8%	75.2%

Run Line (margin)

Line	SEA covers	CHC covers
SEA -1.5	25.9%	49.6%
SEA -2.5	16.5%	40.6%
SEA -3.5	10.9%	32.0%

Team Totals

Line	SEA	CHC
O 3.5	53.6%	70.8%
O 4.5	39.0%	58.3%
O 5.5	26.7%	46.6%
O 6.5	18.9%	36.0%

Odds

moneyline CHC 56% · +105 · $105 per $100

Book	CHC	Impl%	SEA	Impl%
DraftKings	+105	46.7%	-125	53.3%

runline Chicago Cubs +1.5 · -205 · $49 per $100

SEA -1.5: SEA 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs CHC 4.1 no bet

CHC +1.5: CHC 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs SEA 4.4 BET ✓

Book	CHC		SEA
DraftKings	+1.5	-205	-1.5	+170

total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.0 -105	U 8.0 -115

Player Projections actual (projected)

Chicago Cubs

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Seiya Suzuki	RF	1.2	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.3	0.9	10.1	—
Ian Happ	LF	1.2	0.2	0.8	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	10.0	—
Christopher Morel	CF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.3	0.9	9.2	—
Michael Busch	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.8	—
Dansby Swanson	SS	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.7	—
Cody Bellinger	LF	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.7	8.7	—
Mike Tauchman	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.7	8.1	—
Miguel Amaya	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.7	6.9	—
Nico Hoerner	2B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.3	0.6	6.7	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Shota Imanaga	Starter	5.8	6.9	5.5	1.7	2.5	59%	100%	14.3	—

Seattle Mariners

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
J.P. Crawford	SS	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.2	8.9	—
Julio Rodríguez	CF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.3	1.4	8.7	—
Mitch Haniger	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.2	8.6	—
Mitch Garver	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.2	8.3	—
Ty France	1B	1.1	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	1.1	8.0	—
Jorge Polanco	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.2	7.9	—
Dylan Moore	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.2	7.7	—
Luis Urías	2B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.1	6.9	—
Seby Zavala	C	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.2	1.3	6.3	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Emerson Hancock	Starter	5.3	4.5	6.2	1.8	3.4	34%	100%	11.0	—

Box Score

Chicago Cubs — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Ian Happ	4						$4,600 — —	10.0	0.0	-10.0
Seiya Suzuki	4	1	1	1		3	$4,700 — —	10.1	14.0	+3.9
Cody Bellinger	4					1	$4,800 — —	8.7	0.0	-8.7
Christopher Morel	4						$4,300 — —	9.2	0.0	-9.2
Dansby Swanson	4	1				3	$4,100 — —	8.7	5.0	-3.7
Michael Busch	4	2	1	1			$3,100 — —	8.8	17.0	+8.2
Nico Hoerner	2			1		1	$4,000 — —	6.7	2.0	-4.7
Mike Tauchman	3	1					$3,700 — —	8.1	3.0	-5.1
Miguel Amaya	3	1	1	1			$2,800 — —	6.9	14.0	+7.1
TOTALS	32	6	3	4	0	8		77.1	55.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Shota Imanaga	5.1	5	1	4	2	24	$10,000 — —	14.3	19.8	+5.5
Mark Leiter Jr.	1.1		0	1		4	$4,000 — —	—	5.0
Yency Almonte	1.0		0	2		3	$4,000 — —	—	6.3
Héctor Neris	0.1		0		1	2	$4,000 — —	—	0.1
Adbert Alzolay	1.0	1	0	1		4	$8,700 — —	—	3.7

Seattle Mariners — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
J.P. Crawford	5	1				1	$3,800 — —	8.9	3.0	-5.9
Julio Rodríguez	4					1	$5,000 — —	8.7	0.0	-8.7
Ty France	4					2	$3,700 — —	8.0	0.0	-8.0
Mitch Haniger	3	1			1		$3,700 — —	8.6	7.0	-1.6
Jorge Polanco	2	1			2		$4,100 — —	7.9	7.0	-0.9
Mitch Garver	4	1				1	$4,000 — —	8.3	3.0	-5.3
Dylan Moore	4						$3,100 — —	7.7	0.0	-7.7
Luis Urías	2	1	1	1			$2,700 — —	6.9	7.0	+0.1
Seby Zavala	2					2	$2,000 — —	6.3	0.0	-6.3
Dominic Canzone	2						$2,600 — —	—	0.0
Cal Raleigh	2	1				1	$3,800 — —	—	3.0
TOTALS	34	6	1	1	3	8		71.1	30.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Emerson Hancock	5.2	4	2	4	1	22	$7,500 — —	11.0	15.1	+4.1
Tyson Miller	1.0	1	1	2	1	4	$8,400 — —	—	3.7
Austin Voth	2.0	1	1	2	1	7	$8,400 — —	—	5.9