San Diego Padres

41% win

pred 4.6

Matt Waldron

FINAL

Los Angeles Dodgers

59% win

pred 3

Gavin Stone

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
SD	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	7
LAD	0	0	0	1	0	3	1	0		5	8

2024-04-13 UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Tyler Wade	UTIL	12.0	$2.6k	4.6
Gavin Lux	UTIL	9.0	$3.1k	2.9
James Outman	UTIL	10.0	$3.7k	2.7
Gavin Stone	UTIL	19.4	$8.3k	2.3
Daniel Hudson	UTIL	8.3	$4.0k	2.1
Mookie Betts	UTIL	13.0	$6.3k	2.1
Ha-Seong Kim	UTIL	7.0	$3.7k	1.9
Shohei Ohtani	UTIL	11.0	$6.0k	1.8
Matt Waldron	UTIL	13.1	$7.7k	1.7
Kyle Higashioka	UTIL	5.0	$3.2k	1.6
Teoscar Hernández	UTIL	7.0	$4.9k	1.4
Max Muncy	UTIL	6.0	$4.5k	1.3
Fernando Tatis Jr.	UTIL	7.0	$5.5k	1.3
Jackson Merrill	UTIL	3.0	$2.9k	1.0
Jurickson Profar	UTIL	3.0	$3.1k	1.0
Adrian Morejon	UTIL	7.2	$8.6k	0.8
Manny Machado	UTIL	3.0	$4.6k	0.7
Jhony Brito	UTIL	3.7	$8.1k	0.5
Michael Grove	UTIL	2.7	$8.9k	0.3
Evan Phillips	UTIL	1.1	$4.0k	0.3

Predictions

Los Angeles Dodgers

ML · Model 59% vs Mkt 63%

-192 · $52 per $100

WIN

San Diego Padres +1.5

RL · 3.1 off line

-130 · $77 per $100

LOSS

UNDER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 7.6 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Los Angeles Dodgers ML + San Diego Padres +1.5 + UNDER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+414 · $414 per $100

LOSS

SD 41% 59% LAD

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	91.8%	8.2%
6.5	87.6%	12.4%
7.5	82.1%	17.9%
8.5	75.9%	24.1%
9.5	63.2%	36.8%
10.5	55.5%	44.5%
11.5	49.2%	50.8%
12.5	42.1%	57.9%

Run Line (margin)

Line	LAD covers	SD covers
LAD -1.5	39.0%	38.2%
LAD -2.5	29.3%	29.4%
LAD -3.5	21.5%	22.0%

Team Totals

Line	LAD	SD
O 3.5	75.6%	73.7%
O 4.5	65.0%	60.3%
O 5.5	52.5%	49.9%
O 6.5	39.2%	40.5%

Odds

moneyline LAD 59% · -192 · $52 per $100

Book	SD	Impl%	LAD	Impl%
DraftKings	+160	36.9%	-192	63.1%

runline San Diego Padres +1.5 · -130 · $77 per $100

LAD -1.5: LAD 3.0 − 1.5 = 1.5 vs SD 4.6 no bet

SD +1.5: SD 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs LAD 3.0 BET ✗

Book	SD		LAD
DraftKings	+1.5	-130	-1.5	+110

total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -108	U 8.5 -112

Player Projections actual (projected)

San Diego Padres

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	1.2	0.2	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.4	0.9	8.9	—
Jackson Merrill	CF	1.2	0.1	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.5	0.9	8.7	—
Jake Cronenworth	2B	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.2	—
Manny Machado	3B	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.1	—
Jurickson Profar	2B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.8	7.6	—
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.4	0.8	6.8	—
Eguy Rosario	3B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.3	—
Tyler Wade	SS	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.4	0.9	6.1	—
Brett Sullivan	C	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Matt Waldron	Starter	4.9	4.9	5.7	2.1	3.5	40%	100%	10.8	—

Los Angeles Dodgers

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Shohei Ohtani	TWP	1.1	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.2	0.4	1.0	13.1	—
Mookie Betts	SS	1.1	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.9	10.9	—
Freddie Freeman	1B	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.7	—
Max Muncy	3B	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.5	—
Teoscar Hernández	RF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.1	9.4	—
Will Smith	C	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.0	0.3	0.9	9.0	—
James Outman	CF	0.8	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.1	8.4	—
Gavin Lux	2B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.5	—
Enrique Hernández	2B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Gavin Stone	Starter	4.7	4.5	5.7	2.0	3.4	39%	100%	12.9	—

Box Score

San Diego Padres — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jackson Merrill	4	1				1	$2,900 — —	8.7	3.0	-5.7
Fernando Tatis Jr.	4	1	1	1		1	$5,500 — —	8.9	7.0	-1.9
Jake Cronenworth	4					1	$3,700 — —	8.2	0.0	-8.2
Manny Machado	4	1				2	$4,600 — —	8.1	3.0	-5.1
Jurickson Profar	4	1				1	$3,100 — —	7.6	3.0	-4.6
Ha-Seong Kim	4	1	1				$3,700 — —	6.8	7.0	+0.2
Tyler Wade	3	1		1	1		$2,600 — —	6.1	12.0	+5.9
Eguy Rosario	3					1	$2,800 — —	6.3	0.0	-6.3
Kyle Higashioka	2	1					$3,200 — —	—	5.0
Brett Sullivan	1					1	$2,000 — —	4.8	0.0	-4.8
TOTALS	33	7	2	2	1	8		65.6	40.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Matt Waldron	5.0	3	1	4	4	23	$7,700 — —	10.8	13.1	+2.3
Tom Cosgrove	0.1	3	2			5	$4,000 — —	—	-7.7
Adrian Morejon	1.2	1	2	2		6	$8,600 — —	—	7.2
Jhony Brito	1.0	1	0	1		4	$8,100 — —	—	3.7

Los Angeles Dodgers — Hitting

Player	AB	H	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Mookie Betts	5	3	2		1	$6,300 — —	10.9	13.0	+2.1
Shohei Ohtani	2		1	2		$6,000 — —	13.1	11.0	-2.1
Freddie Freeman	4				1	$5,700 — —	9.7	0.0	-9.7
Will Smith	4				1	$4,400 — —	9.0	0.0	-9.0
Teoscar Hernández	3	1		1	1	$4,900 — —	9.4	7.0	-2.4
Max Muncy	2		1			$4,500 — —	9.5	6.0	-3.4
James Outman	4	1			1	$3,700 — —	8.4	10.0	+1.6
Enrique Hernández	4	2			1	— — —	7.1	5.5	-1.6
Gavin Lux	3	1	1	1	1	$3,100 — —	7.5	9.0	+1.5
TOTALS	31	8	5	4	7		84.6	61.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Gavin Stone	6.1	5	2	4	1	25	$8,300 — —	12.9	19.4	+6.5
Michael Grove	0.1		0	1		1	$8,900 — —	—	2.7
Daniel Hudson	1.0		0	3		3	$4,000 — —	—	8.3
Evan Phillips	1.0	2	0			5	$4,000 — —	—	1.1