Atlanta Braves

51% win

pred 3

Chris Sale

FINAL

Miami Marlins

49% win

pred 5.8

Max Meyer

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	6
MIA	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	0		5	8

2024-04-13 loanDepot park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Bryan De La Cruz	UTIL	13.5	$3.8k	3.6
Josh Bell	UTIL	14.0	$4.1k	3.4
Vidal Bruján	UTIL	5.0	$2.0k	2.5
Emmanuel Rivera	UTIL	3.0	$2.3k	1.3
Austin Riley	UTIL	7.5	$5.8k	1.3
Marcell Ozuna	UTIL	5.0	$5.0k	1.0
Avisaíl García	UTIL	2.5	$3.0k	0.8
Jake Burger	UTIL	3.5	$4.7k	0.7
Ozzie Albies	UTIL	4.0	$5.7k	0.7
Luis Arraez	UTIL	3.0	$4.5k	0.7
Ronald Acuña Jr.	UTIL	4.5	$6.7k	0.7
Michael Harris II	UTIL	3.0	$4.7k	0.6
Travis d'Arnaud	UTIL	2.0	$3.6k	0.6
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	UTIL	2.0	$5.0k	0.4

Best Bets

Miami Marlins +1.5

SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +4.3 off line

+102 · $300 bet · $306 profit

Model: 5.8 - 3.0

WIN

Predictions

Atlanta Braves

ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 64%

-205 · $49 per $100

LOSS

Miami Marlins +1.5

RL · 4.3 off line

+102 · $102 per $100

WIN

OVER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Atlanta Braves ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+474 · $474 per $100

LOSS

ATL 51% 49% MIA

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	81.2%	18.8%
6.5	75.1%	24.9%
7.5	64.9%	35.1%
8.5	55.0%	45.0%
9.5	45.4%	54.6%
10.5	37.8%	62.2%
11.5	29.6%	70.4%
12.5	24.2%	75.8%

Run Line (margin)

Line	MIA covers	ATL covers
MIA -1.5	24.3%	51.2%
MIA -2.5	16.1%	39.4%
MIA -3.5	9.9%	29.7%

Team Totals

Line	MIA	ATL
O 3.5	53.3%	70.5%
O 4.5	40.2%	58.0%
O 5.5	26.8%	43.7%
O 6.5	17.6%	33.4%

Odds

moneyline ATL 51% · -205 · $49 per $100

Book	ATL	Impl%	MIA	Impl%
DraftKings	-205	64.5%	+170	35.5%

runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · +102 · $102 per $100

ATL -1.5: ATL 3.0 − 1.5 = 1.5 vs MIA 5.8 no bet

MIA +1.5: MIA 5.8 + 1.5 = 7.3 vs ATL 3.0 BET ✓

Book	ATL		MIA
DraftKings	-1.5	-122	+1.5	+102

total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -112	U 8.5 -108

Player Projections actual (projected)

Atlanta Braves

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.4	0.4	1.0	13.0	—
Marcell Ozuna	DH	0.9	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	12.4	—
Matt Olson	1B	0.8	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	11.9	—
Ozzie Albies	2B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	11.7	—
Austin Riley	3B	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.0	11.6	—
Travis d'Arnaud	C	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	10.2	—
Michael Harris II	CF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	9.6	—
Orlando Arcia	SS	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.3	—
Jarred Kelenic	LF	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Chris Sale	Starter	6.3	7.0	5.8	2.0	2.9	60%	100%	20.4	—

Miami Marlins

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Josh Bell	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.4	—
Jake Burger	1B	1.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.2	8.0	—
Luis Arraez	IF	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.9	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	1.2	6.5	—
Bryan De La Cruz	OF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.2	6.3	—
Christian Bethancourt	1B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.2	1.1	6.3	—
Avisaíl García	RF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.2	6.1	—
Emmanuel Rivera	3B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.1	—
Vidal Bruján	CF	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.3	1.0	5.5	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Max Meyer	Starter	5.1	4.6	4.8	1.9	2.9	33%	100%	7.0	—

Box Score

Atlanta Braves — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	3B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4	1	1				1	$6,700 — —	13.0	4.5	-8.5
Ozzie Albies	4	1	1				2	$5,700 — —	11.7	4.0	-7.7
Austin Riley	3	1		1			1	$5,800 — —	11.6	7.5	-4.1
Matt Olson	4						2	$6,100 — —	11.9	-1.0	-12.9
Marcell Ozuna	4	1			1			$5,000 — —	12.4	5.0	-7.4
Michael Harris II	4	1						$4,700 — —	9.6	3.0	-6.6
Orlando Arcia	3							$3,900 — —	8.3	0.0	-8.3
Travis d'Arnaud	3	1					2	$3,600 — —	10.2	2.0	-8.2
Jarred Kelenic	3						2	$3,400 — —	8.1	-1.0	-9.1
TOTALS	32	6	2	1	1	0	10		96.8	24.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Chris Sale	6.2	6	5	7	3	1	29	$9,400 — —	20.4	13.0	-7.4
Jesse Chavez	1.0	2	0			0	5	— — —	—	1.1

Miami Marlins — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Luis Arraez	4	1						$4,500 — —	6.9	3.0	-3.9
Josh Bell	3	1		1	1	1		$4,100 — —	8.4	14.0	+5.6
Jake Burger	2					2	1	$4,700 — —	8.0	3.5	-4.5
Bryan De La Cruz	4	2	1		3		1	$3,800 — —	6.3	13.5	+7.2
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4	1					2	$5,000 — —	6.5	2.0	-4.5
Avisaíl García	4	1					1	$3,000 — —	6.1	2.5	-3.6
Emmanuel Rivera	4	1						$2,300 — —	6.1	3.0	-3.1
Christian Bethancourt	3						2	$2,500 — —	6.3	-1.0	-7.3
Vidal Bruján	3	1			1			$2,000 — —	5.5	5.0	-0.5
TOTALS	31	8	1	1	5	3	7		60.0	45.5

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Max Meyer	5.2	6	1	7	24	$7,000 — —	7.0	25.2	+18.2
Calvin Faucher	1.0		0	1	3	— — —	—	4.3
Anthony Bender	1.0		0	2	3	— — —	—	6.3
Tanner Scott	0.2		0		3	— — —	—	1.5