Texas Rangers

40% win

pred 5.9

Andrew Heaney

FINAL

Houston Astros

60% win

pred 5

Ronel Blanco

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TEX	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8
HOU	0	0	0	2	0	0	7	0		9	14

2024-04-13 Daikin Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Jose Altuve	UTIL	17.0	$5.3k	3.2
Kyle Tucker	UTIL	18.0	$5.7k	3.2
José Abreu	UTIL	10.0	$3.6k	2.8
Jon Singleton	UTIL	5.5	$2.5k	2.2
Josh Smith	UTIL	5.0	$2.7k	1.9
Wyatt Langford	UTIL	8.0	$4.5k	1.8
Jeremy Peña	UTIL	6.5	$3.9k	1.7
Adolis García	UTIL	8.0	$5.5k	1.5
Yordan Alvarez	UTIL	8.0	$6.0k	1.3
Evan Carter	UTIL	4.5	$4.3k	1.1
Jake Meyers	UTIL	3.0	$3.0k	1.0
Marcus Semien	UTIL	5.0	$5.1k	1.0
Yainer Diaz	UTIL	4.0	$4.3k	0.9
Mauricio Dubón	UTIL	2.0	$2.8k	0.7
Leody Taveras	UTIL	2.0	$3.4k	0.6
Jonah Heim	UTIL	2.0	$4.0k	0.5
Corey Seager	UTIL	1.5	$6.2k	0.2

Predictions

Houston Astros

ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 57%

-148 · $68 per $100

WIN

Texas Rangers +1.5

RL · 2.4 off line

-155 · $65 per $100

LOSS

OVER 9.5

TOTAL · Proj 10.9 vs Line 9.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Houston Astros ML + Texas Rangers +1.5 + OVER 9.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+426 · $426 per $100

LOSS

TEX 40% 60% HOU

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	82.0%	18.0%
6.5	77.6%	22.4%
7.5	68.8%	31.2%
8.5	61.0%	39.0%
9.5	51.5%	48.5%
10.5	43.8%	56.2%
11.5	34.2%	65.8%
12.5	27.9%	72.1%

Run Line (margin)

Line	HOU covers	TEX covers
HOU -1.5	41.9%	31.2%
HOU -2.5	31.1%	22.7%
HOU -3.5	22.1%	16.2%

Team Totals

Line	HOU	TEX
O 3.5	69.1%	59.9%
O 4.5	55.0%	45.7%
O 5.5	42.7%	34.8%
O 6.5	32.2%	25.9%

Odds

moneyline HOU 60% · -148 · $68 per $100

Book	TEX	Impl%	HOU	Impl%
DraftKings	+124	42.8%	-148	57.2%

runline Texas Rangers +1.5 · -155 · $65 per $100

HOU -1.5: HOU 5.0 − 1.5 = 3.5 vs TEX 5.9 no bet

TEX +1.5: TEX 5.9 + 1.5 = 7.4 vs HOU 5.0 BET ✗

Book	TEX		HOU
DraftKings	+1.5	-155	-1.5	+130

total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 9.5 -105	U 9.5 -115

Player Projections actual (projected)

Texas Rangers

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Adolis García	RF	0.8	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.4	1.3	10.6	—
Corey Seager	SS	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.0	0.5	1.0	10.2	—
Marcus Semien	2B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.5	1.0	9.7	—
Evan Carter	CF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.5	1.1	9.2	—
Josh Smith	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.5	0.9	8.5	—
Jonah Heim	C	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	8.1	—
Leody Taveras	OF	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.9	7.9	—
Wyatt Langford	LF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.3	—
Jared Walsh	1B	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.1	6.4	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Andrew Heaney	Starter	4.8	4.6	5.2	1.9	3.0	35%	100%	6.8	—

Houston Astros

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Yordan Alvarez	LF	1.2	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.5	1.0	12.6	—
Kyle Tucker	RF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.9	11.8	—
Jose Altuve	LF	1.1	0.2	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.4	1.0	11.5	—
Yainer Diaz	C	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.0	10.9	—
José Abreu	1B	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	9.7	—
Jon Singleton	1B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.9	—
Jake Meyers	CF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.1	8.3	—
Jeremy Peña	SS	1.1	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.2	0.8	8.1	—
Mauricio Dubón	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.7	7.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Ronel Blanco	Starter	5.6	5.6	4.7	2.5	2.6	53%	100%	16.1	—

Box Score

Texas Rangers — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Marcus Semien	4	1	1				$5,100 — —	9.7	5.0	-4.7
Corey Seager	3				1	1	$6,200 — —	10.2	1.5	-8.7
Evan Carter	3	1			1	1	$4,300 — —	9.2	4.5	-4.7
Adolis García	3	2			1		$5,500 — —	10.6	8.0	-2.6
Josh Smith	4	1		1			$2,700 — —	8.5	5.0	-3.5
Wyatt Langford	4	2		1			$4,500 — —	7.3	8.0	+0.7
Jonah Heim	3	1				2	$4,000 — —	8.1	2.0	-6.1
Jared Walsh	4					3	$3,400 — —	6.4	-1.5	-7.9
Leody Taveras	3				1		$3,400 — —	7.9	2.0	-5.9
Andrew Knizner	1					1	— — —	—	-0.5
TOTALS	32	8	1	2	4	8		77.8	34.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Andrew Heaney	3.2	4	1	1	4	20	$7,200 — —	6.8	3.4	-3.4
Jacob Latz	1.1	2	1			6	— — —	—	-0.2
José Ureña	1.1	6	3	1		11	— — —	—	-4.6
Austin Pruitt	1.2	2	4		1	9	— — —	—	-6.1

Houston Astros — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Jose Altuve	5	3	2	2			$5,300 — —	11.5	17.0	+5.5
Yordan Alvarez	4	2			1		$6,000 — —	12.6	8.0	-4.6
Kyle Tucker	4	2	2	3	1		$5,700 — —	11.8	18.0	+6.2
Yainer Diaz	3			1	1		$4,300 — —	10.9	4.0	-6.9
Jeremy Peña	4	1		1	1	1	$3,900 — —	8.1	6.5	-1.6
Jon Singleton	5	2				1	$2,500 — —	8.9	5.5	-3.4
José Abreu	4	2	1		1		$3,600 — —	9.7	10.0	+0.3
Jake Meyers	5	1					$3,000 — —	8.3	3.0	-5.3
Mauricio Dubón	3			1			$2,800 — —	7.9	2.0	-5.9
Victor Caratini	1	1		1			— — —	—	5.0
Grae Kessinger	1						— — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	39	14	5	9	5	2		89.6	79.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Ronel Blanco	5.2	5	2	5	3	24	$7,700 — —	16.1	18.0	+1.9
Bryan Abreu	1.0	2	0	1	1	6	— — —	—	2.4
Rafael Montero	0.2	1	0			3	— — —	—	0.9
Shawn Dubin	1.0		0	2		3	— — —	—	6.3