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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
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55.5% Win Rate · 1997-1601 · 3,598 picks
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MLB Games 4
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2025-10-01
SD 3  @  CHC 0
Wrigley Field
55% 45%
SD
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 73% O7.5 62% O8.5 54% O9.5 46% O10.5 39% O11.5 30%
Run Line
CHC -1.5 34% SD -1.5 39% CHC -2.5 25% SD -2.5 29%

Odds & Predictions

Metric SD (Away) CHC (Home)
Moneyline -104 -112
Implied % 49.1% 50.9%
Predicted % 54.7% 45.3%
Runline -1.5 +176 +1.5 -215
RL + Pred 3.0 5.3
Pred Runs 4.47 3.78
Mkt implied runs 4.00 2.50
O/U line U 6.5 +100 O 6.5 -122
Predicted total 8.3
Weather 69°F · 8 mph ENE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Dylan Cease pitching 17.5 $8,300
Andrew Kittredge pitching 14.8 $4,000
Fernando Tatis Jr. hitting 8.4 $5,300
Full Game Details →
CIN 4  @  LAD 8
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
38% 62%
LAD
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 71% O7.5 62% O8.5 54% O9.5 44% O10.5 36% O11.5 28%
Run Line
LAD -1.5 45% CIN -1.5 28% LAD -2.5 33% CIN -2.5 20%

Odds & Predictions

Metric CIN (Away) LAD (Home)
Moneyline +160 -190
Implied % 37.0% 63.0%
Predicted % 38.4% 61.6%
Runline +1.5 -140 -1.5 +116
RL + Pred 6.6 1.2
Pred Runs 5.09 2.71
Mkt implied runs 2.75 4.25
O/U line U 7.0 -102 O 7.0 -120
Predicted total 7.8
Weather 73°F · 6 mph SSW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Yoshinobu Yamamoto pitching 27.2 $9,500
Shohei Ohtani hitting 14.0 $6,200
Teoscar Hernández hitting 10.8 $4,100
Full Game Details →
BOS 3  @  NYY 4
Yankee Stadium
41% 59%
NYY
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 78% O7.5 69% O8.5 62% O9.5 51% O10.5 43% O11.5 34%
Run Line
NYY -1.5 44% BOS -1.5 30% NYY -2.5 33% BOS -2.5 23%

Odds & Predictions

Metric BOS (Away) NYY (Home)
Moneyline +140 -180
Implied % 39.3% 60.7%
Predicted % 41.0% 59.0%
Runline +1.5 -310 -1.5 +220
RL + Pred 7.1 1.7
Pred Runs 5.62 3.16
Mkt implied runs 3.50 5.00
O/U line U 8.5 +104 O 8.5 -138
Predicted total 8.8
Weather 68°F · 9 mph WNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Carlos Rodón pitching 23.8 $9,300
Aaron Judge hitting 12.7 $6,000
Giancarlo Stanton hitting 12.5 $4,600
Full Game Details →
DET 1  @  CLE 6
Progressive Field
38% 62%
CLE
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 74% O7.5 63% O8.5 55% O9.5 44% O10.5 35% O11.5 29%
Run Line
CLE -1.5 44% DET -1.5 30% CLE -2.5 31% DET -2.5 22%

Odds & Predictions

Metric DET (Away) CLE (Home)
Predicted % 37.9% 62.1%
Pred Runs 4.15 3.92
Predicted total 8.1
Weather 72°F · 11 mph NE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Tanner Bibee pitching 21.4 $7,700
Casey Mize pitching 16.8 $7,200
José Ramírez hitting 8.7 $5,500
Full Game Details →