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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
-1.8%
-66.6u
55.3% Win Rate · 2024-1633 · 3,657 picks
View Today's Picks → All Predictions
Today's Best Bets 1
ML
Cleveland Guardians
HOU @ CLE · Model: 61% vs Market: 53%
+7.6% edge
-125
L
MLB Games 15
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2024-09-27
PHI 1  @  WSH 9
Nationals Park
55% 45%
PHI
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 81% O7.5 72% O8.5 64% O9.5 56% O10.5 49% O11.5 38%
Run Line
WSH -1.5 29% PHI -1.5 46% WSH -2.5 20% PHI -2.5 36%

Odds & Predictions

Metric PHI (Away) WSH (Home)
Moneyline -192 +160
Implied % 63.1% 36.9%
Predicted % 54.7% 45.3%
Runline -1.5 -110 +1.5 -110
RL + Pred 3.2 7.4
Pred Runs 4.72 5.93
Mkt implied runs 5.00 3.50
O/U line U 8.5 -118 O 8.5 -102
Predicted total 10.7
Weather 76°F · 11 mph ENE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Ranger Suarez pitching 15.4 $9,200
Trevor Williams pitching 12.3 $7,700
Kyle Schwarber hitting 11.3 $6,000
Full Game Details →
MIA 15  @  TOR 5
Rogers Centre
37% 63%
TOR
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 81% O7.5 71% O8.5 63% O9.5 52% O10.5 44% O11.5 36%
Run Line
TOR -1.5 49% MIA -1.5 27% TOR -2.5 39% MIA -2.5 18%

Odds & Predictions

Metric MIA (Away) TOR (Home)
Moneyline +170 -205
Implied % 35.5% 64.5%
Predicted % 36.6% 63.4%
Runline +1.5 -125 -1.5 +105
RL + Pred 5.5 2.0
Pred Runs 3.99 3.53
Mkt implied runs 3.25 4.75
O/U line U 8.0 -105 O 8.0 -115
Predicted total 7.5
Weather 68°F · 10 mph ENE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
José Berríos pitching 17.9 $9,000
Adam Oller pitching 11.3 $6,600
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hitting 10.6 $5,200
Full Game Details →
ATH 0  @  SEA 2
T-Mobile Park
36% 64%
SEA
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Odds & Predictions

Metric ATH (Away) SEA (Home)
Predicted % 35.8% 64.2%
Pred Runs 4.56 3.36
Predicted total 7.9

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Bryan Woo pitching 19.9 $8,400
JP Sears pitching 14.5 $7,200
Cal Raleigh hitting 10.4 $4,200
Full Game Details →
STL 6  @  SF 3
Oracle Park
51% 49%
STL
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 75% O7.5 64% O8.5 57% O9.5 48% O10.5 40% O11.5 31%
Run Line
SF -1.5 37% STL -1.5 34% SF -2.5 27% STL -2.5 27%

Odds & Predictions

Metric STL (Away) SF (Home)
Predicted % 50.8% 49.2%
Pred Runs 4.76 4.17
Predicted total 8.9
Weather 68°F · 6 mph SSE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Miles Mikolas pitching 13.0 $5,500
Landen Roupp pitching 10.5 $7,700
Heliot Ramos hitting 9.2 $4,000
Full Game Details →
PIT 4  @  NYY 2
Yankee Stadium
43% 57%
NYY
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 71% O7.5 60% O8.5 52% O9.5 43% O10.5 36% O11.5 27%
Run Line
NYY -1.5 37% PIT -1.5 33% NYY -2.5 26% PIT -2.5 25%

Odds & Predictions

Metric PIT (Away) NYY (Home)
Moneyline +145 -175
Implied % 39.1% 60.9%
Predicted % 43.0% 57.0%
Runline +1.5 -142 -1.5 +120
RL + Pred 7.2 1.7
Pred Runs 5.70 3.25
Mkt implied runs 3.25 4.75
O/U line U 8.0 -118 O 8.0 -102
Predicted total 9.0
Weather 72°F · 4 mph NNE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Carlos Rodón pitching 25.6 $9,300
Juan Soto hitting 13.9 $6,400
Jared Jones pitching 10.7 $8,600
Full Game Details →
BAL 7  @  MIN 2
Target Field
50% 50%
MIN
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 79% O7.5 68% O8.5 61% O9.5 52% O10.5 45% O11.5 35%
Run Line
MIN -1.5 36% BAL -1.5 36% MIN -2.5 25% BAL -2.5 27%

Odds & Predictions

Metric BAL (Away) MIN (Home)
Predicted % 49.5% 50.5%
Pred Runs 4.77 4.11
Predicted total 8.9
Weather 76°F · 3 mph WNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Pablo López pitching 17.5 $8,800
Cade Povich pitching 12.8 $6,300
Carlos Correa hitting 10.8 $4,700
Full Game Details →
NYM 4  @  MIL 8
American Family Field
50% 50%
MIL
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 72% O7.5 62% O8.5 53% O9.5 39% O10.5 34% O11.5 26%
Run Line
MIL -1.5 30% NYM -1.5 44% MIL -2.5 20% NYM -2.5 34%

Odds & Predictions

Metric NYM (Away) MIL (Home)
Predicted % 49.6% 50.4%
Pred Runs 4.30 4.48
Predicted total 8.8
Weather 68°F · 14 mph WSW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Sean Manaea pitching 20.8 $8,700
Frankie Montas pitching 20.2 $7,000
Francisco Lindor hitting 9.4 $5,600
Full Game Details →
TEX 5  @  LAA 2
Angel Stadium
52% 48%
TEX
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 68% O7.5 58% O8.5 49% O9.5 39% O10.5 32% O11.5 25%
Run Line
LAA -1.5 24% TEX -1.5 47% LAA -2.5 17% TEX -2.5 36%

Odds & Predictions

Metric TEX (Away) LAA (Home)
Predicted % 51.7% 48.3%
Pred Runs 3.26 4.93
Predicted total 8.2
Weather 69°F · 5 mph S

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Jacob deGrom pitching 23.7 $8,400
Reid Detmers pitching 16.5 $6,800
Wyatt Langford hitting 10.1 $4,200
Full Game Details →
CWS 1  @  DET 4
Comerica Park
48% 52%
DET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 67% O7.5 55% O8.5 47% O9.5 36% O10.5 29% O11.5 21%
Run Line
DET -1.5 40% CWS -1.5 33% DET -2.5 28% CWS -2.5 23%

Odds & Predictions

Metric CWS (Away) DET (Home)
Moneyline +140 -166
Implied % 40.0% 60.0%
Predicted % 47.5% 52.5%
Runline +1.5 -155 -1.5 +130
RL + Pred 6.5 2.5
Pred Runs 4.98 3.97
Mkt implied runs 3.00 4.50
O/U line U 7.5 -120 O 7.5 +100
Predicted total 9.0
Weather 72°F · 14 mph W

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Brenan Hanifee pitching 18.1 $4,000
Garrett Crochet pitching 16.1 $7,400
Riley Greene hitting 8.0 $5,300
Full Game Details →
LAD 11  @  COL 4
Coors Field
56% 44%
LAD
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 83% O7.5 76% O8.5 70% O9.5 60% O10.5 52% O11.5 41%
Run Line
COL -1.5 26% LAD -1.5 49% COL -2.5 16% LAD -2.5 40%

Odds & Predictions

Metric LAD (Away) COL (Home)
Predicted % 55.6% 44.4%
Pred Runs 4.52 7.33
Predicted total 11.8
Weather 83°F · 5 mph ENE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Ben Casparius pitching 14.2 $4,000
Shohei Ohtani hitting 12.8 $8,000
Gavin Lux hitting 11.2 $4,800
Full Game Details →
HOU 5  @  CLE 2
Progressive Field
39% 61%
CLE
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Cleveland Guardians +7.6% edge -125 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 70% O7.5 59% O8.5 51% O9.5 41% O10.5 33% O11.5 23%
Run Line
CLE -1.5 40% HOU -1.5 32% CLE -2.5 29% HOU -2.5 24%

Odds & Predictions

Metric HOU (Away) CLE (Home)
Moneyline +105 -125
Implied % 46.8% 53.2%
Predicted % 39.1% 60.9%
Runline +1.5 -205 -1.5 +170
RL + Pred 5.9 2.4
Pred Runs 4.38 3.85
Mkt implied runs 3.25 4.75
O/U line U 8.0 -118 O 8.0 -102
Predicted total 8.2
Weather 72°F · 13 mph ENE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Joey Cantillo pitching 15.7 $7,600
Ronel Blanco pitching 13.7 $9,600
Kyle Manzardo hitting 9.7 $2,400
Full Game Details →
CIN 0  @  CHC 1
Wrigley Field
46% 54%
CHC
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 73% O7.5 65% O8.5 56% O9.5 45% O10.5 38% O11.5 29%
Run Line
CHC -1.5 35% CIN -1.5 39% CHC -2.5 23% CIN -2.5 29%

Odds & Predictions

Metric CIN (Away) CHC (Home)
Moneyline +120 -142
Implied % 43.7% 56.3%
Predicted % 46.2% 53.8%
Runline +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
RL + Pred 5.0 2.3
Pred Runs 3.55 3.80
Mkt implied runs 2.50 4.00
O/U line U 6.5 -115 O 6.5 -105
Predicted total 7.3
Weather 71°F · 19 mph N
Full Game Details →
TB 2  @  BOS 1
Fenway Park
51% 49%
TB
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 79% O7.5 69% O8.5 61% O9.5 52% O10.5 44% O11.5 34%
Run Line
BOS -1.5 37% TB -1.5 38% BOS -2.5 27% TB -2.5 29%

Odds & Predictions

Metric TB (Away) BOS (Home)
Moneyline +114 -135
Implied % 44.9% 55.1%
Predicted % 51.0% 49.0%
Runline +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
RL + Pred 6.4 2.8
Pred Runs 4.90 4.31
Mkt implied runs 3.25 4.75
O/U line U 8.0 -110 O 8.0 -110
Predicted total 9.2
Weather 69°F · 3 mph E

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Nick Pivetta pitching 18.9 $7,900
Taj Bradley pitching 15.8 $8,300
Jarren Duran hitting 9.6 $5,300
Full Game Details →
KC 0  @  ATL 3
Truist Park
38% 62%
ATL
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 76% O7.5 65% O8.5 58% O9.5 47% O10.5 38% O11.5 31%
Run Line
ATL -1.5 44% KC -1.5 29% ATL -2.5 31% KC -2.5 20%

Odds & Predictions

Metric KC (Away) ATL (Home)
Moneyline +154 -185
Implied % 37.8% 62.2%
Predicted % 37.9% 62.1%
Runline +1.5 -135 -1.5 +114
RL + Pred 5.5 2.0
Pred Runs 4.00 3.46
Mkt implied runs 3.00 4.50
O/U line U 7.5 -118 O 7.5 -102
Predicted total 7.5
Weather 71°F · 10 mph NE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Max Fried pitching 18.4 $9,400
Brady Singer pitching 15.6 $8,200
Matt Olson hitting 9.1 $5,300
Full Game Details →
SD 5  @  AZ 3
Chase Field
45% 55%
AZ
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 82% O7.5 73% O8.5 67% O9.5 55% O10.5 48% O11.5 39%
Run Line
AZ -1.5 37% SD -1.5 38% AZ -2.5 26% SD -2.5 30%

Odds & Predictions

Metric SD (Away) AZ (Home)
Predicted % 45.5% 54.6%
Pred Runs 4.57 4.71
Predicted total 9.3
Weather 102°F · 4 mph W

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Yu Darvish pitching 14.1 $8,600
Merrill Kelly pitching 12.3 $7,800
Ketel Marte hitting 10.2 $6,000
Full Game Details →