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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
-1.8%
-66.6u
55.3% Win Rate · 2024-1633 · 3,657 picks
Today's Best Bets 2
2024-09-24
KC 1
@
WSH 0
Nationals Park
56%
44%
KC
WIN
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 72%
O7.5 60%
O8.5 51%
O9.5 41%
O10.5 33%
O11.5 26%
Run Line
WSH -1.5 30%
KC -1.5 45%
WSH -2.5 20%
KC -2.5 34%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | KC (Away) | WSH (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -170 | +142 |
| Implied % | 60.4% | 39.6% |
| Predicted % | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Runline | -1.5 +100 | +1.5 -120 |
| RL + Pred | 1.8 | 6.5 |
| Pred Runs | 3.25 | 4.98 |
| Mkt implied runs | 4.50 | 3.00 |
| O/U line | U 7.5 -115 | O 7.5 -105 |
| Predicted total | 8.2 | |
| Weather | 70°F · 6 mph E | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans | pitching | 21.2 | $9,800 |
| Mitchell Parker | pitching | 12.7 | $6,500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | hitting | 10.8 | $6,500 |
BOS 6
@
TOR 5
Rogers Centre
43%
57%
TOR
BET
LOSS
Final
▼
Best Bets
ML
Toronto Blue Jays
+4.2% edge
-125
L
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 72%
O7.5 59%
O8.5 51%
O9.5 41%
O10.5 33%
O11.5 25%
Run Line
TOR -1.5 42%
BOS -1.5 29%
TOR -2.5 32%
BOS -2.5 20%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | BOS (Away) | TOR (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +105 | -125 |
| Implied % | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Predicted % | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Runline | +1.5 -198 | -1.5 +164 |
| RL + Pred | 6.1 | 2.3 |
| Pred Runs | 4.60 | 3.82 |
| Mkt implied runs | 3.25 | 4.75 |
| O/U line | U 8.0 -118 | O 8.0 -102 |
| Predicted total | 8.4 | |
| Weather | 66°F · 12 mph E | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis | pitching | 21.7 | $8,300 |
| Brayan Bello | pitching | 14.2 | $7,700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | hitting | 9.3 | $5,300 |
MIL 7
@
PIT 2
PNC Park
55%
45%
MIL
WIN
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 74%
O7.5 64%
O8.5 56%
O9.5 44%
O10.5 36%
O11.5 28%
Run Line
PIT -1.5 31%
MIL -1.5 43%
PIT -2.5 21%
MIL -2.5 33%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | MIL (Away) | PIT (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -142 | +120 |
| Implied % | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Predicted % | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| Runline | -1.5 +114 | +1.5 -135 |
| RL + Pred | 2.6 | 6.4 |
| Pred Runs | 4.09 | 4.93 |
| Mkt implied runs | 4.75 | 3.25 |
| O/U line | U 8.0 -115 | O 8.0 -105 |
| Predicted total | 9.0 | |
| Weather | 70°F · 8 mph NNE | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers | pitching | 17.5 | $7,800 |
| Bailey Falter | pitching | 12.6 | $6,000 |
| Gary Sánchez | hitting | 10.0 | $3,500 |
CHC 10
@
PHI 4
Citizens Bank Park
53%
47%
CHC
WIN
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 77%
O7.5 68%
O8.5 59%
O9.5 48%
O10.5 42%
O11.5 33%
Run Line
PHI -1.5 41%
CHC -1.5 33%
PHI -2.5 28%
CHC -2.5 26%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | CHC (Away) | PHI (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 | +105 |
| Implied % | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Predicted % | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Runline | -1.5 +136 | +1.5 -162 |
| RL + Pred | 3.1 | 5.7 |
| Pred Runs | 4.60 | 4.17 |
| Mkt implied runs | 4.75 | 3.25 |
| O/U line | U 8.0 -102 | O 8.0 -118 |
| Predicted total | 8.8 | |
| Weather | 68°F · 8 mph E | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | pitching | 18.0 | $8,000 |
| Tanner Banks | pitching | 13.5 | $4,000 |
| Kyle Schwarber | hitting | 8.3 | $6,100 |
TEX 4
@
ATH 5
Oakland Coliseum
52%
48%
TEX
LOSS
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | TEX (Away) | ATH (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted % | 52.3% | 47.8% |
| Pred Runs | 3.30 | 3.04 |
| Predicted total | 6.3 | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Spence | pitching | 18.9 | $6,300 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | pitching | 18.6 | $8,700 |
| Lawrence Butler | hitting | 8.6 | $4,500 |
BAL 5
@
NYY 3
Yankee Stadium
43%
57%
NYY
LOSS
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 80%
O7.5 70%
O8.5 61%
O9.5 51%
O10.5 43%
O11.5 33%
Run Line
NYY -1.5 37%
BAL -1.5 38%
NYY -2.5 26%
BAL -2.5 28%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | BAL (Away) | NYY (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +136 | -162 |
| Implied % | 40.7% | 59.3% |
| Predicted % | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| Runline | +1.5 -148 | -1.5 +124 |
| RL + Pred | 6.0 | 2.2 |
| Pred Runs | 4.54 | 3.69 |
| Mkt implied runs | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| O/U line | U 8.5 -108 | O 8.5 -112 |
| Predicted total | 8.2 | |
| Weather | 66°F · 7 mph NE | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt | pitching | 17.8 | $7,900 |
| Dean Kremer | pitching | 13.5 | $7,000 |
| Aaron Judge | hitting | 10.8 | $7,000 |
MIA 4
@
MIN 1
Target Field
37%
63%
MIN
LOSS
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 77%
O7.5 67%
O8.5 58%
O9.5 48%
O10.5 41%
O11.5 33%
Run Line
MIN -1.5 46%
MIA -1.5 30%
MIN -2.5 35%
MIA -2.5 22%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | MIA (Away) | MIN (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +205 | -250 |
| Implied % | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Predicted % | 36.9% | 63.1% |
| Runline | +1.5 -108 | -1.5 -112 |
| RL + Pred | 5.5 | 1.4 |
| Pred Runs | 4.04 | 2.95 |
| Mkt implied runs | 3.25 | 4.75 |
| O/U line | U 8.0 -105 | O 8.0 -115 |
| Predicted total | 7.0 | |
| Weather | 68°F · 3 mph WSW | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober | pitching | 24.0 | $8,600 |
| Ryan Weathers | pitching | 15.3 | $6,500 |
| Carlos Correa | hitting | 9.2 | $4,900 |
SD 4
@
LAD 2
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
51%
49%
SD
WIN
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 82%
O7.5 72%
O8.5 66%
O9.5 55%
O10.5 46%
O11.5 36%
Run Line
LAD -1.5 36%
SD -1.5 38%
LAD -2.5 28%
SD -2.5 28%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | SD (Away) | LAD (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted % | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Pred Runs | 4.61 | 4.43 |
| Predicted total | 9.0 | |
| Weather | 69°F · 5 mph SSW | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael King | pitching | 18.7 | $9,100 |
| Landon Knack | pitching | 13.8 | $7,300 |
| Shohei Ohtani | hitting | 10.5 | $7,500 |
SEA 3
@
HOU 4
Daikin Park
48%
52%
HOU
WIN
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 72%
O7.5 62%
O8.5 55%
O9.5 45%
O10.5 38%
O11.5 30%
Run Line
HOU -1.5 35%
SEA -1.5 39%
HOU -2.5 23%
SEA -2.5 29%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | SEA (Away) | HOU (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Implied % | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| Predicted % | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| Runline | +1.5 -180 | -1.5 +150 |
| RL + Pred | 5.9 | 2.3 |
| Pred Runs | 4.41 | 3.85 |
| Mkt implied runs | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| O/U line | U 7.5 -102 | O 7.5 -118 |
| Predicted total | 8.3 | |
| Weather | 85°F · 6 mph SE | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | pitching | 22.7 | $10,000 |
| Logan Gilbert | pitching | 17.1 | $9,300 |
| Kyle Tucker | hitting | 10.1 | $5,900 |
TB 1
@
DET 2
Comerica Park
49%
51%
DET
WIN
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 65%
O7.5 52%
O8.5 43%
O9.5 33%
O10.5 27%
O11.5 19%
Run Line
DET -1.5 40%
TB -1.5 29%
DET -2.5 27%
TB -2.5 22%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | TB (Away) | DET (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +154 | -185 |
| Implied % | 37.8% | 62.2% |
| Predicted % | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Runline | +1.5 -148 | -1.5 +124 |
| RL + Pred | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Pred Runs | 3.96 | 3.39 |
| Mkt implied runs | 2.75 | 4.25 |
| O/U line | U 7.0 -120 | O 7.0 +100 |
| Predicted total | 7.4 | |
| Weather | 70°F · 7 mph NW | |
STL 7
@
COL 3
Coors Field
52%
48%
STL
WIN
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 72%
O7.5 61%
O8.5 53%
O9.5 42%
O10.5 36%
O11.5 29%
Run Line
COL -1.5 25%
STL -1.5 49%
COL -2.5 16%
STL -2.5 38%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | STL (Away) | COL (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted % | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Pred Runs | 4.33 | 4.81 |
| Predicted total | 9.1 | |
| Weather | 72°F · 2 mph S | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner | pitching | 11.3 | $5,500 |
| Alec Burleson | hitting | 10.8 | $4,600 |
| Michael McGreevy | pitching | 10.7 | $6,600 |
CIN 1
@
CLE 6
Progressive Field
41%
59%
CLE
WIN
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 79%
O7.5 70%
O8.5 62%
O9.5 51%
O10.5 44%
O11.5 35%
Run Line
CLE -1.5 42%
CIN -1.5 32%
CLE -2.5 31%
CIN -2.5 24%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | CIN (Away) | CLE (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +140 | -166 |
| Implied % | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Predicted % | 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Runline | +1.5 -155 | -1.5 +130 |
| RL + Pred | 6.0 | 2.4 |
| Pred Runs | 4.48 | 3.92 |
| Mkt implied runs | 3.25 | 4.75 |
| O/U line | U 8.0 -118 | O 8.0 -102 |
| Predicted total | 8.4 | |
| Weather | 72°F · 8 mph SSE | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee | pitching | 19.5 | $8,500 |
| Carson Spiers | pitching | 11.9 | $7,300 |
| José Ramírez | hitting | 9.2 | $6,400 |
LAA 2
@
CWS 3
Rate Field
47%
53%
CWS
BET
WIN
Final
▼
Best Bets
ML
Chicago White Sox
+3.7% edge
-105
W
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 77%
O7.5 67%
O8.5 58%
O9.5 47%
O10.5 39%
O11.5 29%
Run Line
CWS -1.5 32%
LAA -1.5 40%
CWS -2.5 21%
LAA -2.5 29%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | LAA (Away) | CWS (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -115 | -105 |
| Implied % | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Predicted % | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Runline | -1.5 +142 | +1.5 -170 |
| RL + Pred | 2.1 | 6.4 |
| Pred Runs | 3.59 | 4.90 |
| Mkt implied runs | 5.00 | 3.50 |
| O/U line | U 8.5 -112 | O 8.5 -108 |
| Predicted total | 8.5 | |
| Weather | 66°F · 8 mph SSW | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kochanowicz | pitching | 16.7 | $6,000 |
| Jonathan Cannon | pitching | 14.8 | $6,200 |
| Taylor Ward | hitting | 9.8 | $4,200 |
NYM 1
@
ATL 5
Truist Park
47%
53%
ATL
WIN
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 80%
O7.5 71%
O8.5 64%
O9.5 53%
O10.5 44%
O11.5 36%
Run Line
ATL -1.5 35%
NYM -1.5 38%
ATL -2.5 26%
NYM -2.5 29%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | NYM (Away) | ATL (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Implied % | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| Predicted % | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Runline | +1.5 -180 | -1.5 +150 |
| RL + Pred | 6.4 | 2.2 |
| Pred Runs | 4.86 | 3.71 |
| Mkt implied runs | 3.25 | 4.75 |
| O/U line | U 8.0 -105 | O 8.0 -115 |
| Predicted total | 8.6 | |
| Weather | 85°F · 7 mph NE | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach | pitching | 22.6 | $8,900 |
| Luis Severino | pitching | 15.7 | $7,500 |
| Ozzie Albies | hitting | 9.3 | $4,800 |
SF 11
@
AZ 0
Chase Field
40%
60%
AZ
LOSS
Final
▼
Best Bets
No star-rated picks for this game
Sim Distribution (% by .5)
Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 77%
O7.5 66%
O8.5 60%
O9.5 49%
O10.5 42%
O11.5 34%
Run Line
AZ -1.5 36%
SF -1.5 38%
AZ -2.5 27%
SF -2.5 28%
Odds & Predictions
| Metric | SF (Away) | AZ (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +142 | -170 |
| Implied % | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| Predicted % | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Runline | +1.5 -142 | -1.5 +120 |
| RL + Pred | 6.6 | 2.5 |
| Pred Runs | 5.15 | 4.04 |
| Mkt implied runs | 3.75 | 5.25 |
| O/U line | U 9.0 -120 | O 9.0 +100 |
| Predicted total | 9.2 | |
| Weather | 96°F · 4 mph WSW | |
Top DFS Plays
| Player | Pos | Proj | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt | pitching | 20.1 | $8,200 |
| Corbin Carroll | hitting | 10.7 | $5,600 |
| Ketel Marte | hitting | 10.5 | $6,200 |