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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
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-60.5u
55.4% Win Rate · 2043-1643 · 3,686 picks
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MLB Games 7
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2024-06-10
BAL 5  @  TB 2
Tropicana Field
52% 48%
BAL
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 65% O7.5 53% O8.5 44% O9.5 33% O10.5 25% O11.5 18%
Run Line
TB -1.5 33% BAL -1.5 38% TB -2.5 23% BAL -2.5 29%

Odds & Predictions

Metric BAL (Away) TB (Home)
Moneyline -142 +120
Implied % 56.3% 43.7%
Predicted % 52.1% 47.9%
Runline -1.5 +120 +1.5 -142
RL + Pred 1.9 5.4
Pred Runs 3.38 3.92
Mkt implied runs 4.50 3.00
O/U line U 7.5 -120 O 7.5 +100
Predicted total 7.3
Full Game Details →
CWS 4  @  SEA 8
T-Mobile Park
45% 55%
SEA
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 75% O7.5 65% O8.5 56% O9.5 44% O10.5 36% O11.5 28%
Run Line
SEA -1.5 42% CWS -1.5 31% SEA -2.5 29% CWS -2.5 21%

Odds & Predictions

Metric CWS (Away) SEA (Home)
Predicted % 45.4% 54.6%
Pred Runs 4.16 4.40
Predicted total 8.6
Weather 69°F · 4 mph WNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Erick Fedde pitching 19.3 $7,800
Logan Gilbert pitching 18.2 $9,800
Gavin Sheets hitting 8.4 $3,400
Full Game Details →
HOU 3  @  SF 4
Oracle Park
47% 53%
SF
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 81% O7.5 71% O8.5 64% O9.5 54% O10.5 46% O11.5 37%
Run Line
SF -1.5 32% HOU -1.5 42% SF -2.5 24% HOU -2.5 32%

Odds & Predictions

Metric HOU (Away) SF (Home)
Predicted % 46.9% 53.1%
Pred Runs 3.72 4.27
Predicted total 8.0
Weather 62°F · 9 mph SSE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Spencer Arrighetti pitching 15.7 $6,500
Kyle Harrison pitching 11.8 $7,400
Yordan Alvarez hitting 9.9 $5,300
Full Game Details →
ATH 1  @  SD 6
Petco Park
36% 64%
SD
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Odds & Predictions

Metric ATH (Away) SD (Home)
Predicted % 35.8% 64.2%
Pred Runs 3.70 3.05
Predicted total 6.8

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Dylan Cease pitching 26.8 $10,300
Joey Estes pitching 12.4 $6,800
Fernando Tatis Jr. hitting 10.7 $5,500
Full Game Details →
COL 0  @  MIN 5
Target Field
41% 59%
MIN
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 77% O7.5 69% O8.5 60% O9.5 50% O10.5 43% O11.5 34%
Run Line
MIN -1.5 40% COL -1.5 34% MIN -2.5 30% COL -2.5 24%

Odds & Predictions

Metric COL (Away) MIN (Home)
Moneyline +190 -230
Implied % 33.1% 66.9%
Predicted % 40.8% 59.2%
Runline +1.5 -110 -1.5 -110
RL + Pred 6.1 1.1
Pred Runs 4.60 2.55
Mkt implied runs 3.25 4.75
O/U line U 8.0 -105 O 8.0 -115
Predicted total 7.2
Weather 73°F · 6 mph NE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Chris Paddack pitching 20.8 $7,100
Trevor Larnach hitting 11.3 $4,000
Royce Lewis hitting 10.7 $5,900
Full Game Details →
TOR 1  @  MIL 3
American Family Field
43% 57%
MIL
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 77% O7.5 67% O8.5 61% O9.5 52% O10.5 43% O11.5 34%
Run Line
MIL -1.5 36% TOR -1.5 39% MIL -2.5 25% TOR -2.5 29%

Odds & Predictions

Metric TOR (Away) MIL (Home)
Predicted % 43.4% 56.6%
Pred Runs 4.11 4.22
Predicted total 8.3
Weather 64°F · 5 mph WNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
José Berríos pitching 16.0 $8,000
Colin Rea pitching 12.7 $6,200
Davis Schneider hitting 10.2 $4,700
Full Game Details →
NYY 4  @  KC 2
Kauffman Stadium
45% 55%
KC
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 73% O7.5 64% O8.5 57% O9.5 47% O10.5 40% O11.5 31%
Run Line
KC -1.5 35% NYY -1.5 39% KC -2.5 24% NYY -2.5 30%

Odds & Predictions

Metric NYY (Away) KC (Home)
Predicted % 44.9% 55.1%
Pred Runs 4.76 4.14
Predicted total 8.9
Weather 79°F · 5 mph N

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Seth Lugo pitching 16.0 $8,400
Carlos Rodón pitching 12.3 $8,800
Bobby Witt Jr. hitting 11.6 $6,300
Full Game Details →