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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
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-68.6u
55.3% Win Rate · 2064-1668 · 3,732 picks
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MLB Games 4
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2023-09-25
HOU 5  @  SEA 1
T-Mobile Park
32% 68%
SEA
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 73% O7.5 62% O8.5 53% O9.5 42% O10.5 35% O11.5 28%
Run Line
SEA -1.5 32% HOU -1.5 41% SEA -2.5 22% HOU -2.5 32%

Odds & Predictions

Metric HOU (Away) SEA (Home)
Predicted % 31.8% 68.2%
Pred Runs 4.14 3.84
Predicted total 8.0
Weather 60°F · 9 mph SE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Luis Castillo pitching 18.3 $9,300
Justin Verlander pitching 16.6 $8,500
Julio Rodríguez hitting 9.9 $6,300
Full Game Details →
TEX 5  @  LAA 1
Angel Stadium
79% 21%
TEX
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 85% O7.5 75% O8.5 68% O9.5 58% O10.5 51% O11.5 42%
Run Line
LAA -1.5 29% TEX -1.5 45% LAA -2.5 21% TEX -2.5 36%

Odds & Predictions

Metric TEX (Away) LAA (Home)
Predicted % 78.6% 21.3%
Pred Runs 4.12 5.18
Predicted total 9.3
Weather 72°F · 5 mph SSW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Jon Gray pitching 17.3 $6,400
Patrick Sandoval pitching 15.4 $6,000
Corey Seager hitting 11.6 $6,500
Full Game Details →
SD 1  @  SF 2
Oracle Park
46% 54%
SF
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 70% O7.5 59% O8.5 51% O9.5 42% O10.5 35% O11.5 27%
Run Line
SF -1.5 32% SD -1.5 42% SF -2.5 21% SD -2.5 34%

Odds & Predictions

Metric SD (Away) SF (Home)
Predicted % 46.5% 53.5%
Pred Runs 3.47 3.82
Predicted total 7.3
Weather 66°F · 8 mph SE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Blake Snell pitching 22.9 $9,600
Logan Webb pitching 14.7 $7,900
Manny Machado hitting 8.4 $5,100
Full Game Details →
AZ 4  @  NYY 6
Yankee Stadium
55% 45%
AZ
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 72% O7.5 62% O8.5 55% O9.5 44% O10.5 37% O11.5 28%
Run Line
NYY -1.5 34% AZ -1.5 38% NYY -2.5 23% AZ -2.5 28%

Odds & Predictions

Metric AZ (Away) NYY (Home)
Moneyline -115 -105
Implied % 51.1% 48.9%
Predicted % 54.8% 45.2%
Runline -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
RL + Pred 2.1 5.1
Pred Runs 3.63 3.57
Mkt implied runs 4.25 2.75
O/U line U 7.0 +102 O 7.0 -122
Predicted total 7.2
Weather 60°F · 13 mph NNW
Full Game Details →