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Beat the Market.

BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
-1.9%
-70.6u
55.3% Win Rate · 2064-1670 · 3,734 picks
View Today's Picks → All Predictions
Today's Best Bets 6
ML
Toronto Blue Jays
TEX @ TOR · Model: 74% vs Market: 58%
+16.1% edge
-155
L
ML
Detroit Tigers
CIN @ DET · Model: 64% vs Market: 52%
+12.2% edge
-118
W
ML
Milwaukee Brewers
MIA @ MIL · Model: 61% vs Market: 49%
+12.0% edge
-105
W
ML
Pittsburgh Pirates
WSH @ PIT · Model: 71% vs Market: 60%
+10.9% edge
-166
W
ML
Boston Red Sox
NYY @ BOS · Model: 56% vs Market: 51%
+4.6% edge
-115
W
ML
New York Mets
AZ @ NYM · Model: 56% vs Market: 52%
+3.5% edge
-120
W
MLB Games 9
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2023-09-14
MIN 10  @  CWS 2
Rate Field
50% 50%
MIN
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 82% O7.5 72% O8.5 65% O9.5 55% O10.5 47% O11.5 37%
Run Line
CWS -1.5 28% MIN -1.5 47% CWS -2.5 20% MIN -2.5 37%

Odds & Predictions

Metric MIN (Away) CWS (Home)
Moneyline -185 +154
Implied % 62.2% 37.8%
Predicted % 50.3% 49.7%
Runline -1.5 -120 +1.5 +100
RL + Pred 1.6 6.8
Pred Runs 3.11 5.27
Mkt implied runs 5.25 3.75
O/U line U 9.0 -105 O 9.0 -115
Predicted total 8.4
Weather 66°F · 5 mph NW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Kenta Maeda pitching 18.4 $7,800
Jorge Polanco hitting 12.5 $4,400
Max Kepler hitting 12.2 $4,000
Full Game Details →
CIN 2  @  DET 8
Comerica Park
36% 64%
DET
BET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Detroit Tigers +12.2% edge -118 W

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 72% O7.5 62% O8.5 55% O9.5 43% O10.5 36% O11.5 28%
Run Line
DET -1.5 31% CIN -1.5 40% DET -2.5 21% CIN -2.5 30%

Odds & Predictions

Metric CIN (Away) DET (Home)
Moneyline -102 -118
Implied % 48.3% 51.7%
Predicted % 36.0% 64.0%
Runline -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
RL + Pred 2.1 6.0
Pred Runs 3.59 4.55
Mkt implied runs 5.00 3.50
O/U line U 8.5 -110 O 8.5 -110
Predicted total 8.1
Weather 68°F · 2 mph SW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Derek Law pitching 16.4 $4,000
Reese Olson pitching 14.9 $7,400
Nick Martini hitting 9.7 $2,800
Full Game Details →
MIA 2  @  MIL 4
American Family Field
39% 61%
MIL
BET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Milwaukee Brewers +12.0% edge -105 W

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 73% O7.5 63% O8.5 54% O9.5 45% O10.5 38% O11.5 29%
Run Line
MIL -1.5 31% MIA -1.5 40% MIL -2.5 21% MIA -2.5 31%

Odds & Predictions

Metric MIA (Away) MIL (Home)
Moneyline -115 -105
Implied % 51.1% 48.9%
Predicted % 39.1% 60.9%
Runline -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
RL + Pred 2.2 5.7
Pred Runs 3.65 4.17
Mkt implied runs 4.75 3.25
O/U line U 8.0 -112 O 8.0 -108
Predicted total 7.8
Weather 68°F · 5 mph NNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Eury Pérez pitching 19.3 $9,000
Adrian Houser pitching 13.6 $6,500
Jake Burger hitting 9.4 $4,600
Full Game Details →
TB 4  @  BAL 3
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
47% 53%
BAL
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 80% O7.5 71% O8.5 64% O9.5 53% O10.5 45% O11.5 36%
Run Line
BAL -1.5 36% TB -1.5 39% BAL -2.5 26% TB -2.5 30%

Odds & Predictions

Metric TB (Away) BAL (Home)
Moneyline +120 -142
Implied % 43.7% 56.3%
Predicted % 46.6% 53.4%
Runline +1.5 -175 -1.5 +145
RL + Pred 6.2 2.2
Pred Runs 4.69 3.73
Mkt implied runs 3.25 4.75
O/U line U 8.0 -110 O 8.0 -110
Predicted total 8.4
Weather 73°F · 7 mph NNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Kyle Bradish pitching 19.8 $9,400
Aaron Civale pitching 12.8 $9,000
Gunnar Henderson hitting 11.1 $5,500
Full Game Details →
TEX 9  @  TOR 2
Rogers Centre
26% 74%
TOR
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Toronto Blue Jays +16.1% edge -155 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 82% O7.5 74% O8.5 67% O9.5 58% O10.5 49% O11.5 40%
Run Line
TOR -1.5 43% TEX -1.5 34% TOR -2.5 32% TEX -2.5 27%

Odds & Predictions

Metric TEX (Away) TOR (Home)
Moneyline +130 -155
Implied % 41.7% 58.3%
Predicted % 25.6% 74.4%
Runline +1.5 -155 -1.5 +130
RL + Pred 6.0 2.7
Pred Runs 4.52 4.22
Mkt implied runs 3.00 4.50
O/U line U 7.5 -105 O 7.5 -115
Predicted total 8.7
Weather 65°F · 5 mph NW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Kevin Gausman pitching 21.2 $11,000
Nathan Eovaldi pitching 15.3 $9,800
Corey Seager hitting 10.0 $6,600
Full Game Details →
AZ 1  @  NYM 11
Citi Field
44% 56%
NYM
BET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML New York Mets +3.5% edge -120 W

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 76% O7.5 67% O8.5 58% O9.5 48% O10.5 40% O11.5 31%
Run Line
NYM -1.5 38% AZ -1.5 37% NYM -2.5 26% AZ -2.5 27%

Odds & Predictions

Metric AZ (Away) NYM (Home)
Moneyline +100 -120
Implied % 47.8% 52.2%
Predicted % 44.3% 55.7%
Runline -1.5 +180 +1.5 -218
RL + Pred 2.3 5.5
Pred Runs 3.78 4.04
Mkt implied runs 4.25 2.75
O/U line U 7.0 +100 O 7.0 -120
Predicted total 7.8
Weather 78°F · 9 mph NNW
Full Game Details →
WSH 0  @  PIT 2
PNC Park
29% 71%
PIT
BET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Pittsburgh Pirates +10.9% edge -166 W

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 80% O7.5 72% O8.5 64% O9.5 54% O10.5 47% O11.5 39%
Run Line
PIT -1.5 40% WSH -1.5 36% PIT -2.5 29% WSH -2.5 28%

Odds & Predictions

Metric WSH (Away) PIT (Home)
Moneyline +140 -166
Implied % 40.0% 60.0%
Predicted % 29.1% 70.9%
Runline +1.5 -142 -1.5 +120
RL + Pred 6.3 2.6
Pred Runs 4.81 4.07
Mkt implied runs 3.50 5.00
O/U line U 8.5 -118 O 8.5 -102
Predicted total 8.9
Weather 68°F · 5 mph WSW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Mitch Keller pitching 18.5 $8,700
Josiah Gray pitching 13.6 $7,700
Jack Suwinski hitting 9.6 $3,600
Full Game Details →
NYY 8  @  BOS 5
Fenway Park
34% 66%
BOS
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Odds & Predictions

Metric NYY (Away) BOS (Home)
Predicted % 34.4% 65.6%
Pred Runs 3.31 2.43
Predicted total 5.7
Full Game Details →
NYY 0  @  BOS 5
Fenway Park
44% 56%
BOS
BET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Boston Red Sox +4.6% edge -115 W

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 77% O7.5 68% O8.5 60% O9.5 51% O10.5 45% O11.5 34%
Run Line
BOS -1.5 47% NYY -1.5 26% BOS -2.5 35% NYY -2.5 20%

Odds & Predictions

Metric NYY (Away) BOS (Home)
Moneyline -105 -115
Implied % 48.9% 51.1%
Predicted % 44.3% 55.7%
Runline +1.5 -198 -1.5 +164
RL + Pred 6.7 3.1
Pred Runs 5.17 4.61
Mkt implied runs 4.00 5.50
O/U line U 9.5 -120 O 9.5 +100
Predicted total 9.8
Weather 69°F · 5 mph W

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Clarke Schmidt pitching 13.6 $7,100
Rafael Devers hitting 11.5 $5,600
Aaron Judge hitting 10.8 $6,300
Full Game Details →