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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
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55.3% Win Rate · 2067-1670 · 3,737 picks
View Today's Picks → All Predictions
Today's Best Bets 8
ML
St. Louis Cardinals
NYM @ STL · Model: 74% vs Market: 50%
+23.9% edge
-108
L
ML
Tampa Bay Rays
TB @ LAA · Model: 79% vs Market: 56%
+22.4% edge
-142
L
ML
Washington Nationals
PHI @ WSH · Model: 63% vs Market: 42%
+21.3% edge
+130
L
ML
Texas Rangers
MIL @ TEX · Model: 74% vs Market: 54%
+19.8% edge
-130
L
ML
Miami Marlins
MIA @ LAD · Model: 58% vs Market: 40%
+17.8% edge
+140
L
ML
Chicago Cubs
KC @ CHC · Model: 76% vs Market: 63%
+12.4% edge
-192
W
ML
Cleveland Guardians
DET @ CLE · Model: 69% vs Market: 60%
+8.6% edge
-166
L
ML
Chicago White Sox
CWS @ COL · Model: 57% vs Market: 48%
+8.3% edge
-102
L
View all 12 picks →
MLB Games 18
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2023-08-19
MIA 1  @  LAD 3
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
58% 42%
MIA
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Miami Marlins +17.8% edge +140 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 78% O7.5 68% O8.5 60% O9.5 50% O10.5 43% O11.5 33%
Run Line
LAD -1.5 42% MIA -1.5 31% LAD -2.5 30% MIA -2.5 23%

Odds & Predictions

Metric MIA (Away) LAD (Home)
Moneyline +140 -166
Implied % 40.0% 60.0%
Predicted % 57.9% 42.1%
Runline +1.5 -142 -1.5 +120
RL + Pred 6.7 2.5
Pred Runs 5.18 3.96
Mkt implied runs 3.75 5.25
O/U line U 9.0 -110 O 9.0 -110
Predicted total 9.1
Weather 75°F · 4 mph SSW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Julio Urías pitching 20.4 $9,200
Braxton Garrett pitching 13.8 $7,700
Mookie Betts hitting 11.0 $6,600
Full Game Details →
TB 6  @  LAA 7
Angel Stadium
79% 21%
TB
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Tampa Bay Rays +22.4% edge -142 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 66% O7.5 54% O8.5 47% O9.5 36% O10.5 28% O11.5 20%
Run Line
LAA -1.5 32% TB -1.5 39% LAA -2.5 21% TB -2.5 30%

Odds & Predictions

Metric TB (Away) LAA (Home)
Moneyline -142 +120
Implied % 56.3% 43.7%
Predicted % 78.8% 21.2%
Runline -1.5 +114 +1.5 -135
RL + Pred 2.5 6.0
Pred Runs 3.95 4.46
Mkt implied runs 5.00 3.50
O/U line U 8.5 -118 O 8.5 -102
Predicted total 8.4
Weather 75°F · 4 mph S

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Patrick Sandoval pitching 20.3 $7,200
Zach Eflin pitching 19.9 $9,100
Shohei Ohtani hitting 9.0 $6,700
Full Game Details →
AZ 6  @  SD 4
Petco Park
37% 63%
SD
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML San Diego Padres +2.3% edge -175 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 80% O7.5 72% O8.5 65% O9.5 52% O10.5 45% O11.5 37%
Run Line
SD -1.5 40% AZ -1.5 34% SD -2.5 31% AZ -2.5 24%

Odds & Predictions

Metric AZ (Away) SD (Home)
Moneyline +145 -175
Implied % 39.1% 60.9%
Predicted % 36.8% 63.2%
Runline +1.5 -142 -1.5 +120
RL + Pred 6.1 2.5
Pred Runs 4.59 4.05
Mkt implied runs 3.50 5.00
O/U line U 8.5 +100 O 8.5 -120
Predicted total 8.6
Weather 74°F · 4 mph NW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Yu Darvish pitching 19.9 $8,000
Scott McGough pitching 15.4 $4,000
Juan Soto hitting 10.8 $5,900
Full Game Details →
TB 18  @  LAA 4
Angel Stadium
53% 47%
TB
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Odds & Predictions

Metric TB (Away) LAA (Home)
Predicted % 52.8% 47.2%
Pred Runs 2.89 3.12
Predicted total 6.0
Full Game Details →
MIA 1  @  LAD 3
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
46% 54%
LAD
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Odds & Predictions

Metric MIA (Away) LAD (Home)
Predicted % 45.8% 54.2%
Pred Runs 3.88 3.32
Predicted total 7.2
Full Game Details →
BAL 7  @  ATH 2
Oakland Coliseum
63% 37%
BAL
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Odds & Predictions

Metric BAL (Away) ATH (Home)
Moneyline -196 +164
Implied % 63.6% 36.4%
Predicted % 63.2% 36.8%
Runline -1.5 -122 +1.5 +102
RL + Pred 0.9 5.2
Pred Runs 2.39 3.71
Mkt implied runs 5.00 3.50
O/U line U 8.5 -106 O 8.5 -114
Predicted total 6.1
Weather 68°F · 8 mph SW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Cole Irvin pitching 18.0 $5,500
Ken Waldichuk pitching 15.2 $5,300
Ryan Mountcastle hitting 9.5 $4,000
Full Game Details →
AZ 8  @  SD 1
Petco Park
38% 62%
SD
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Odds & Predictions

Metric AZ (Away) SD (Home)
Predicted % 37.7% 62.3%
Pred Runs 3.98 3.47
Predicted total 7.5
Full Game Details →
SEA 10  @  HOU 3
Daikin Park
52% 48%
SEA
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 76% O7.5 66% O8.5 58% O9.5 48% O10.5 39% O11.5 30%
Run Line
HOU -1.5 39% SEA -1.5 33% HOU -2.5 28% SEA -2.5 23%

Odds & Predictions

Metric SEA (Away) HOU (Home)
Moneyline +124 -148
Implied % 42.8% 57.2%
Predicted % 52.1% 47.9%
Runline +1.5 -170 -1.5 +142
RL + Pred 6.2 2.7
Pred Runs 4.73 4.24
Mkt implied runs 3.25 4.75
O/U line U 8.0 -112 O 8.0 -108
Predicted total 9.0
Weather 100°F · 10 mph ESE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Framber Valdez pitching 22.3 $10,200
Logan Gilbert pitching 15.4 $8,800
Yordan Alvarez hitting 9.5 $6,000
Full Game Details →
CWS 5  @  COL 11
Coors Field
57% 43%
CWS
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Chicago White Sox +8.3% edge -102 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 84% O7.5 74% O8.5 64% O9.5 54% O10.5 47% O11.5 38%
Run Line
COL -1.5 33% CWS -1.5 45% COL -2.5 23% CWS -2.5 36%

Odds & Predictions

Metric CWS (Away) COL (Home)
Moneyline -102 -118
Implied % 48.3% 51.7%
Predicted % 56.6% 43.4%
Runline -1.5 +140 +1.5 -166
RL + Pred 3.9 7.6
Pred Runs 5.37 6.06
Mkt implied runs 6.75 5.25
O/U line U 12.0 -110 O 12.0 -110
Predicted total 11.4
Weather 91°F · 9 mph NE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Luis Robert Jr. hitting 15.9 $5,700
Andrew Vaughn hitting 15.3 $3,900
Yoán Moncada hitting 12.6 $4,000
Full Game Details →
SF 5  @  ATL 6
Truist Park
48% 52%
ATL
BET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Atlanta Braves +0.7% edge -118 W

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 80% O7.5 70% O8.5 61% O9.5 51% O10.5 41% O11.5 32%
Run Line
ATL -1.5 35% SF -1.5 41% ATL -2.5 24% SF -2.5 30%

Odds & Predictions

Metric SF (Away) ATL (Home)
Moneyline -102 -118
Implied % 48.3% 51.7%
Predicted % 47.6% 52.4%
Runline +1.5 -205 -1.5 +170
RL + Pred 6.7 3.0
Pred Runs 5.16 4.46
Mkt implied runs 4.00 5.50
O/U line U 9.5 -118 O 9.5 -102
Predicted total 9.6
Weather 87°F · 4 mph NW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Logan Webb pitching 11.9 $9,400
Yonny Chirinos pitching 11.9 $5,800
Matt Olson hitting 11.3 $6,500
Full Game Details →
TOR 4  @  CIN 3
Great American Ball Park
63% 37%
TOR
BET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Toronto Blue Jays +6.2% edge -142 W

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 78% O7.5 70% O8.5 62% O9.5 52% O10.5 44% O11.5 35%
Run Line
CIN -1.5 29% TOR -1.5 43% CIN -2.5 19% TOR -2.5 34%

Odds & Predictions

Metric TOR (Away) CIN (Home)
Moneyline -142 +120
Implied % 56.3% 43.7%
Predicted % 62.5% 37.5%
Runline -1.5 +110 +1.5 -130
RL + Pred 3.1 7.2
Pred Runs 4.56 5.69
Mkt implied runs 5.50 4.00
O/U line U 9.5 -105 O 9.5 -115
Predicted total 10.3
Weather 82°F · 3 mph NE
Full Game Details →
PIT 7  @  MIN 4
Target Field
36% 64%
MIN
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Minnesota Twins +2.2% edge -180 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 78% O7.5 69% O8.5 60% O9.5 50% O10.5 42% O11.5 32%
Run Line
MIN -1.5 49% PIT -1.5 26% MIN -2.5 36% PIT -2.5 17%

Odds & Predictions

Metric PIT (Away) MIN (Home)
Moneyline +150 -180
Implied % 38.4% 61.6%
Predicted % 36.1% 63.9%
Runline +1.5 -142 -1.5 +120
RL + Pred 6.3 2.1
Pred Runs 4.78 3.62
Mkt implied runs 3.50 5.00
O/U line U 8.5 -105 O 8.5 -115
Predicted total 8.4
Weather 91°F · 6 mph SW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Sonny Gray pitching 20.6 $8,700
Mitch Keller pitching 14.1 $8,600
Edouard Julien hitting 9.7 $3,400
Full Game Details →
KC 4  @  CHC 6
Wrigley Field
24% 76%
CHC
BET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Chicago Cubs +12.4% edge -192 W

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 76% O7.5 65% O8.5 57% O9.5 47% O10.5 40% O11.5 32%
Run Line
CHC -1.5 38% KC -1.5 33% CHC -2.5 26% KC -2.5 25%

Odds & Predictions

Metric KC (Away) CHC (Home)
Moneyline +160 -192
Implied % 36.9% 63.1%
Predicted % 24.5% 75.5%
Runline +1.5 -125 -1.5 +100
RL + Pred 6.5 2.9
Pred Runs 4.96 4.38
Mkt implied runs 3.75 5.25
O/U line U 9.0 -105 O 9.0 -115
Predicted total 9.3
Weather 79°F · 11 mph SE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Justin Steele pitching 17.0 $9,200
Brady Singer pitching 12.9 $7,200
Mike Tauchman hitting 10.2 $3,800
Full Game Details →
MIL 6  @  TEX 1
Globe Life Field
26% 74%
TEX
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Texas Rangers +19.8% edge -130 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 78% O7.5 69% O8.5 61% O9.5 50% O10.5 41% O11.5 33%
Run Line
TEX -1.5 34% MIL -1.5 41% TEX -2.5 24% MIL -2.5 31%

Odds & Predictions

Metric MIL (Away) TEX (Home)
Moneyline +110 -130
Implied % 45.7% 54.3%
Predicted % 26.0% 74.0%
Runline +1.5 -180 -1.5 +150
RL + Pred 6.5 2.5
Pred Runs 4.96 3.98
Mkt implied runs 3.25 4.75
O/U line U 8.0 -105 O 8.0 -115
Predicted total 8.9
Weather 106°F · 7 mph SE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Dane Dunning pitching 17.7 $7,400
Freddy Peralta pitching 16.3 $9,800
Corey Seager hitting 13.0 $6,400
Full Game Details →
DET 4  @  CLE 3
Progressive Field
31% 69%
CLE
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Cleveland Guardians +8.6% edge -166 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 74% O7.5 63% O8.5 54% O9.5 44% O10.5 36% O11.5 28%
Run Line
CLE -1.5 39% DET -1.5 36% CLE -2.5 27% DET -2.5 27%

Odds & Predictions

Metric DET (Away) CLE (Home)
Moneyline +140 -166
Implied % 40.0% 60.0%
Predicted % 31.5% 68.5%
Runline +1.5 -155 -1.5 +130
RL + Pred 6.0 2.2
Pred Runs 4.54 3.65
Mkt implied runs 3.25 4.75
O/U line U 8.0 -115 O 8.0 -105
Predicted total 8.2
Weather 75°F · 3 mph NNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Tanner Bibee pitching 21.9 $8,200
Matt Manning pitching 11.9 $6,500
José Ramírez hitting 10.3 $5,800
Full Game Details →
NYM 13  @  STL 2
Busch Stadium
26% 74%
STL
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML St. Louis Cardinals +23.9% edge -108 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 77% O7.5 67% O8.5 60% O9.5 51% O10.5 44% O11.5 36%
Run Line
STL -1.5 33% NYM -1.5 41% STL -2.5 22% NYM -2.5 32%

Odds & Predictions

Metric NYM (Away) STL (Home)
Moneyline -112 -108
Implied % 50.4% 49.6%
Predicted % 26.5% 73.5%
Runline -1.5 +150 +1.5 -180
RL + Pred 2.3 7.1
Pred Runs 3.76 5.63
Mkt implied runs 5.00 3.50
O/U line U 8.5 -110 O 8.5 -110
Predicted total 9.4
Weather 89°F · 10 mph ESE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Kodai Senga pitching 19.2 $9,700
Francisco Lindor hitting 12.4 $5,100
Brandon Nimmo hitting 11.4 $4,600
Full Game Details →
PHI 12  @  WSH 3
Nationals Park
37% 63%
WSH
BET
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

ML Washington Nationals +21.3% edge +130 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 81% O7.5 71% O8.5 64% O9.5 53% O10.5 46% O11.5 35%
Run Line
WSH -1.5 31% PHI -1.5 44% WSH -2.5 21% PHI -2.5 36%

Odds & Predictions

Metric PHI (Away) WSH (Home)
Moneyline -155 +130
Implied % 58.3% 41.7%
Predicted % 37.0% 63.0%
Runline -1.5 +100 +1.5 -120
RL + Pred 2.9 6.8
Pred Runs 4.40 5.30
Mkt implied runs 5.50 4.00
O/U line U 9.5 -120 O 9.5 +100
Predicted total 9.7
Weather 84°F · 5 mph WSW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Cristopher Sánchez pitching 14.0 $7,100
Jake Irvin pitching 12.9 $5,100
Bryce Harper hitting 10.1 $5,300
Full Game Details →
BOS 8  @  NYY 1
Yankee Stadium
42% 58%
NYY
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 73% O7.5 64% O8.5 56% O9.5 46% O10.5 38% O11.5 29%
Run Line
NYY -1.5 42% BOS -1.5 32% NYY -2.5 31% BOS -2.5 22%

Odds & Predictions

Metric BOS (Away) NYY (Home)
Moneyline +140 -166
Implied % 40.0% 60.0%
Predicted % 41.9% 58.1%
Runline +1.5 -148 -1.5 +124
RL + Pred 6.2 2.1
Pred Runs 4.66 3.57
Mkt implied runs 3.50 5.00
O/U line U 8.5 -115 O 8.5 -105
Predicted total 8.2
Weather 75°F · 9 mph SW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Gerrit Cole pitching 21.4 $11,700
Kutter Crawford pitching 13.8 $6,900
Aaron Judge hitting 12.7 $6,300
Full Game Details →