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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
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55.4% Win Rate · 2082-1677 · 3,759 picks
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MLB Games 4
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2022-10-15
ATL 3  @  PHI 8
Citizens Bank Park
59% 41%
ATL
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 81% O7.5 72% O8.5 64% O9.5 54% O10.5 47% O11.5 39%
Run Line
PHI -1.5 32% ATL -1.5 41% PHI -2.5 22% ATL -2.5 31%

Odds & Predictions

Metric ATL (Away) PHI (Home)
Predicted % 58.9% 41.1%
Pred Runs 4.21 4.56
Predicted total 8.8
Weather 70°F · 12 mph S

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Charlie Morton pitching 17.6 $7,700
Noah Syndergaard pitching 13.6 $5,800
Kyle Schwarber hitting 10.3 $5,400
Full Game Details →
LAD 3  @  SD 5
Petco Park
54% 46%
LAD
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 75% O7.5 66% O8.5 56% O9.5 45% O10.5 37% O11.5 31%
Run Line
SD -1.5 33% LAD -1.5 42% SD -2.5 22% LAD -2.5 33%

Odds & Predictions

Metric LAD (Away) SD (Home)
Moneyline -130 +110
Implied % 54.3% 45.7%
Predicted % 54.1% 45.9%
Runline -1.5 +130 +1.5 -156
RL + Pred 3.1 5.7
Pred Runs 4.57 4.18
Mkt implied runs 4.50 3.00
O/U line U 7.5 -120 O 7.5 -102
Predicted total 8.7
Weather 67°F · 5 mph WNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Joe Musgrove pitching 18.7 $8,400
Tyler Anderson pitching 14.2 $7,200
Manny Machado hitting 9.5 $5,700
Full Game Details →
NYY 5  @  CLE 6
Progressive Field
58% 42%
NYY
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 68% O7.5 57% O8.5 48% O9.5 36% O10.5 29% O11.5 21%
Run Line
CLE -1.5 33% NYY -1.5 39% CLE -2.5 22% NYY -2.5 30%

Odds & Predictions

Metric NYY (Away) CLE (Home)
Predicted % 57.8% 42.2%
Pred Runs 4.66 4.64
Predicted total 9.3
Weather 61°F · 14 mph SSW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Triston McKenzie pitching 22.4 $8,900
Luis Severino pitching 14.9 $8,100
Aaron Judge hitting 9.1 $6,300
Full Game Details →
HOU 1  @  SEA 0
T-Mobile Park
43% 57%
SEA
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 78% O7.5 67% O8.5 60% O9.5 49% O10.5 41% O11.5 33%
Run Line
SEA -1.5 32% HOU -1.5 44% SEA -2.5 22% HOU -2.5 35%

Odds & Predictions

Metric HOU (Away) SEA (Home)
Moneyline +141 -167
Implied % 39.9% 60.1%
Predicted % 43.5% 56.5%
Runline -1.5 +158 +1.5 -192
RL + Pred 3.0 5.9
Pred Runs 4.55 4.37
Predicted total 8.9
Weather 54°F · 6 mph NNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Lance McCullers Jr. pitching 18.8 $9,400
George Kirby pitching 18.3 $6,300
Julio Rodríguez hitting 8.3 $5,500
Full Game Details →