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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
-1.5%
-58.1u
55.4% Win Rate · 2088-1681 · 3,769 picks
View Today's Picks → All Predictions
Today's Best Bets 1
TOTAL
OVER 7.5
DET @ MIN · Model: 10.1 vs Line: 7.5
+2.6 over line
-110
W
MLB Games 10
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2022-08-01
SEA 2  @  NYY 7
Yankee Stadium
38% 62%
NYY
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 84% O7.5 74% O8.5 65% O9.5 56% O10.5 48% O11.5 40%
Run Line
NYY -1.5 42% SEA -1.5 34% NYY -2.5 30% SEA -2.5 25%

Odds & Predictions

Metric SEA (Away) NYY (Home)
Moneyline +160 -189
Implied % 37.0% 63.0%
Predicted % 38.4% 61.6%
Runline +1.5 -125 -1.5 +105
RL + Pred 6.9 2.5
Pred Runs 5.44 3.99
Mkt implied runs 3.75 5.25
O/U line U 9.0 -110 O 9.0 -110
Predicted total 9.4
Weather 79°F · 5 mph SE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Domingo Germán pitching 14.2 $6,400
Aaron Judge hitting 13.1 $6,400
Anthony Rizzo hitting 11.3 $4,500
Full Game Details →
CIN 3  @  MIA 1
loanDepot park
54% 46%
CIN
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 78% O7.5 69% O8.5 62% O9.5 51% O10.5 43% O11.5 33%
Run Line
MIA -1.5 35% CIN -1.5 37% MIA -2.5 26% CIN -2.5 29%

Odds & Predictions

Metric CIN (Away) MIA (Home)
Moneyline +100 -120
Implied % 47.8% 52.2%
Predicted % 53.6% 46.4%
Runline +1.5 -204 -1.5 +175
RL + Pred 5.8 1.7
Pred Runs 4.31 3.19
Mkt implied runs 3.25 4.75
O/U line U 8.0 -115 O 8.0 -105
Predicted total 7.5
Weather 83°F · 9 mph NE
Full Game Details →
KC 2  @  CWS 1
Rate Field
55% 45%
KC
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 81% O7.5 73% O8.5 66% O9.5 56% O10.5 48% O11.5 39%
Run Line
CWS -1.5 43% KC -1.5 32% CWS -2.5 33% KC -2.5 24%

Odds & Predictions

Metric KC (Away) CWS (Home)
Predicted % 55.0% 45.0%
Pred Runs 4.75 4.69
Predicted total 9.4
Weather 82°F · 10 mph S

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Michael Kopech pitching 14.0 $7,000
Daniel Lynch IV pitching 12.7 $7,400
MJ Melendez hitting 11.1 $4,500
Full Game Details →
DET 3  @  MIN 5
Target Field
46% 54%
MIN
BET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

TOTAL OVER 7.5 +2.6 over line -110 W

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 79% O7.5 70% O8.5 63% O9.5 52% O10.5 44% O11.5 34%
Run Line
MIN -1.5 39% DET -1.5 36% MIN -2.5 27% DET -2.5 25%

Odds & Predictions

Metric DET (Away) MIN (Home)
Moneyline +128 -161
Implied % 41.6% 58.4%
Predicted % 45.8% 54.3%
Runline +1.5 -179 -1.5 +140
RL + Pred 6.9 3.2
Pred Runs 5.44 4.67
Mkt implied runs 3.00 4.50
O/U line U 7.5 -115 O 7.5 -111
Predicted total 10.1
Weather 83°F · 5 mph SSW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Tarik Skubal pitching 13.9 $8,000
Aaron Sanchez pitching 12.5 $7,100
Carlos Correa hitting 9.4 $4,500
Full Game Details →
BAL 7  @  TEX 2
Globe Life Field
55% 45%
BAL
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 83% O7.5 74% O8.5 66% O9.5 56% O10.5 47% O11.5 38%
Run Line
TEX -1.5 41% BAL -1.5 34% TEX -2.5 30% BAL -2.5 25%

Odds & Predictions

Metric BAL (Away) TEX (Home)
Predicted % 54.9% 45.1%
Pred Runs 5.33 3.87
Predicted total 9.2
Weather 99°F · 8 mph E

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Jon Gray pitching 22.8 $9,700
Nathaniel Lowe hitting 10.7 $3,300
Corey Seager hitting 10.4 $4,600
Full Game Details →
LAD 8  @  SF 2
Oracle Park
51% 49%
LAD
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 79% O7.5 70% O8.5 62% O9.5 51% O10.5 43% O11.5 34%
Run Line
SF -1.5 34% LAD -1.5 39% SF -2.5 25% LAD -2.5 31%

Odds & Predictions

Metric LAD (Away) SF (Home)
Predicted % 50.7% 49.3%
Pred Runs 3.47 5.11
Predicted total 8.6
Weather 65°F · 7 mph SSE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Andrew Heaney pitching 19.3 $9,500
Logan Webb pitching 13.4 $8,800
Mookie Betts hitting 10.0 $6,000
Full Game Details →
COL 1  @  SD 4
Petco Park
62% 38%
COL
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 77% O7.5 67% O8.5 59% O9.5 49% O10.5 42% O11.5 35%
Run Line
SD -1.5 43% COL -1.5 33% SD -2.5 31% COL -2.5 22%

Odds & Predictions

Metric COL (Away) SD (Home)
Predicted % 61.6% 38.4%
Pred Runs 4.62 3.85
Predicted total 8.5
Weather 76°F · 6 mph WNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Mike Clevinger pitching 16.6 $8,300
Antonio Senzatela pitching 12.3 $5,400
Jurickson Profar hitting 9.5 $3,900
Full Game Details →
NYM 7  @  WSH 3
Nationals Park
62% 38%
NYM
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 79% O7.5 68% O8.5 59% O9.5 50% O10.5 43% O11.5 34%
Run Line
WSH -1.5 22% NYM -1.5 53% WSH -2.5 15% NYM -2.5 42%

Odds & Predictions

Metric NYM (Away) WSH (Home)
Moneyline -244 +205
Implied % 68.4% 31.6%
Predicted % 61.7% 38.3%
Runline -1.5 -145 +1.5 +125
RL + Pred 2.0 7.2
Pred Runs 3.47 5.70
Mkt implied runs 5.00 3.50
O/U line U 8.5 -110 O 8.5 -110
Predicted total 9.2
Weather 85°F · 6 mph S

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Max Scherzer pitching 21.5 $10,600
Pete Alonso hitting 11.9 $6,300
Eduardo Escobar hitting 11.4 $4,500
Full Game Details →
BOS 3  @  HOU 2
Daikin Park
55% 45%
BOS
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 81% O7.5 73% O8.5 66% O9.5 56% O10.5 46% O11.5 37%
Run Line
HOU -1.5 47% BOS -1.5 25% HOU -2.5 37% BOS -2.5 18%

Odds & Predictions

Metric BOS (Away) HOU (Home)
Predicted % 55.3% 44.7%
Pred Runs 5.11 4.22
Predicted total 9.3
Weather 90°F · 9 mph SSE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Luis García pitching 17.0 $8,600
Nathan Eovaldi pitching 12.5 $7,600
Yordan Alvarez hitting 10.2 $6,200
Full Game Details →
AZ 5  @  CLE 6
Progressive Field
43% 57%
CLE
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 81% O7.5 72% O8.5 63% O9.5 53% O10.5 43% O11.5 36%
Run Line
CLE -1.5 39% AZ -1.5 38% CLE -2.5 28% AZ -2.5 29%

Odds & Predictions

Metric AZ (Away) CLE (Home)
Moneyline +135 -154
Implied % 41.2% 58.8%
Predicted % 43.2% 56.8%
Runline +1.5 -145 -1.5 +125
RL + Pred 7.2 3.7
Pred Runs 5.66 5.17
Mkt implied runs 3.75 5.25
O/U line U 9.0 -105 O 9.0 -115
Predicted total 10.8
Weather 80°F · 12 mph SW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Cal Quantrill pitching 13.1 $7,200
Zach Davies pitching 11.1 $6,900
Josh Naylor hitting 10.5 $4,200
Full Game Details →