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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
-1.5%
-58.4u
55.4% Win Rate · 2090-1683 · 3,773 picks
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Today's Best Bets 1
TOTAL
OVER 9.5
PIT @ WSH · Model: 12.2 vs Line: 9.5
+2.7 over line
-110
L
MLB Games 9
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2022-06-27
ATH 5  @  NYY 9
Yankee Stadium
22% 78%
NYY
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Odds & Predictions

Metric ATH (Away) NYY (Home)
Predicted % 22.4% 77.6%
Runline +2.5 +102 -2.5 -130
RL + Pred 7.1 0.5
Pred Runs 4.58 3.04
Mkt implied runs 2.50 5.00
O/U line U 7.5 -115 O 7.5 -111
Predicted total 7.6
Weather 76°F · 4 mph SE

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Jordan Montgomery pitching 18.0 $8,000
Aaron Judge hitting 12.0 $6,000
Giancarlo Stanton hitting 11.9 $5,000
Full Game Details →
BOS 2  @  TOR 7
Rogers Centre
41% 59%
TOR
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 84% O7.5 77% O8.5 71% O9.5 61% O10.5 54% O11.5 45%
Run Line
TOR -1.5 41% BOS -1.5 35% TOR -2.5 30% BOS -2.5 27%

Odds & Predictions

Metric BOS (Away) TOR (Home)
Moneyline +155 -179
Implied % 37.9% 62.1%
Predicted % 41.4% 58.6%
Runline +1.5 -125 -1.5 +105
RL + Pred 7.3 3.5
Pred Runs 5.79 5.04
Mkt implied runs 4.00 5.50
O/U line U 9.5 -115 O 9.5 -105
Predicted total 10.8
Weather 64°F · 13 mph W

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Kevin Gausman pitching 15.1 $9,800
Rafael Devers hitting 11.2 $5,900
Bo Bichette hitting 10.7 $5,100
Full Game Details →
MIA 0  @  STL 9
Busch Stadium
52% 48%
MIA
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Odds & Predictions

Metric MIA (Away) STL (Home)
Moneyline +105 -125
Implied % 46.8% 53.2%
Predicted % 51.7% 48.3%
Runline +1.5 -189 -1.5 +160
RL + Pred 4.3 1.7
Pred Runs 2.80 3.17
Mkt implied runs 3.00 4.50
O/U line U 7.5 -105 O 7.5 -115
Predicted total 6.0
Weather 80°F · 8 mph NW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Pablo López pitching 22.2 $9,100
Adam Wainwright pitching 17.7 $7,600
Garrett Cooper hitting 8.3 $3,000
Full Game Details →
BAL 9  @  SEA 2
T-Mobile Park
55% 45%
BAL
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 70% O7.5 58% O8.5 50% O9.5 41% O10.5 35% O11.5 27%
Run Line
SEA -1.5 33% BAL -1.5 40% SEA -2.5 23% BAL -2.5 28%

Odds & Predictions

Metric BAL (Away) SEA (Home)
Predicted % 55.3% 44.7%
Pred Runs 4.35 3.69
Predicted total 8.0
Weather 82°F · 9 mph S

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
George Kirby pitching 17.5 $7,100
Tyler Wells pitching 13.6 $6,200
Julio Rodríguez hitting 10.3 $5,700
Full Game Details →
PIT 2  @  WSH 3
Nationals Park
46% 54%
WSH
BET
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

TOTAL OVER 9.5 +2.7 over line -110 L

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 83% O7.5 74% O8.5 67% O9.5 58% O10.5 51% O11.5 44%
Run Line
WSH -1.5 40% PIT -1.5 35% WSH -2.5 30% PIT -2.5 27%

Odds & Predictions

Metric PIT (Away) WSH (Home)
Moneyline +115 -135
Implied % 44.7% 55.3%
Predicted % 45.9% 54.1%
Runline +1.5 -169 -1.5 +145
RL + Pred 7.5 4.8
Pred Runs 5.96 6.26
Mkt implied runs 4.00 5.50
O/U line U 9.5 -120 O 9.5 +100
Predicted total 12.2
Weather 79°F · 6 mph W

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Erick Fedde pitching 12.9 $6,400
Daniel Vogelbach hitting 11.4 $2,500
Juan Soto hitting 9.7 $5,500
Full Game Details →
TEX 10  @  KC 4
Kauffman Stadium
59% 41%
TEX
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 80% O7.5 72% O8.5 65% O9.5 55% O10.5 46% O11.5 37%
Run Line
KC -1.5 34% TEX -1.5 43% KC -2.5 24% TEX -2.5 31%

Odds & Predictions

Metric TEX (Away) KC (Home)
Predicted % 59.4% 40.6%
Pred Runs 4.58 5.34
Predicted total 9.9
Weather 79°F · 5 mph N

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Martín Pérez pitching 12.8 $8,900
Corey Seager hitting 10.9 $5,600
Kris Bubic pitching 10.7 $6,100
Full Game Details →
LAD 0  @  COL 4
Coors Field
64% 36%
LAD
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 85% O7.5 79% O8.5 72% O9.5 62% O10.5 53% O11.5 45%
Run Line
COL -1.5 27% LAD -1.5 49% COL -2.5 18% LAD -2.5 38%

Odds & Predictions

Metric LAD (Away) COL (Home)
Predicted % 64.5% 35.5%
Pred Runs 3.88 5.70
Predicted total 9.6
Weather 83°F · 5 mph E

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Tyler Anderson pitching 14.3 $9,500
Trea Turner hitting 13.2 $6,000
Cody Bellinger hitting 11.7 $4,400
Full Game Details →
MIN 11  @  CLE 1
Progressive Field
52% 48%
MIN
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 77% O7.5 68% O8.5 61% O9.5 49% O10.5 41% O11.5 33%
Run Line
CLE -1.5 32% MIN -1.5 44% CLE -2.5 22% MIN -2.5 34%

Odds & Predictions

Metric MIN (Away) CLE (Home)
Moneyline -125 +105
Implied % 53.2% 46.8%
Predicted % 51.8% 48.2%
Runline -1.5 +140 +1.5 -164
RL + Pred 2.3 6.7
Pred Runs 3.78 5.24
Mkt implied runs 4.75 3.25
O/U line U 8.0 +100 O 8.0 -120
Predicted total 9.0
Weather 74°F · 12 mph WNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Sonny Gray pitching 14.1 $8,500
Triston McKenzie pitching 12.5 $8,800
Byron Buxton hitting 10.7 $6,200
Full Game Details →
CWS 3  @  LAA 4
Angel Stadium
60% 40%
CWS
LOSS
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 82% O7.5 73% O8.5 66% O9.5 58% O10.5 50% O11.5 41%
Run Line
LAA -1.5 36% CWS -1.5 39% LAA -2.5 26% CWS -2.5 31%

Odds & Predictions

Metric CWS (Away) LAA (Home)
Predicted % 59.8% 40.2%
Pred Runs 5.61 4.08
Predicted total 9.7
Weather 80°F · 6 mph S

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Mike Trout hitting 15.5 $6,300
Shohei Ohtani hitting 14.3 $6,100
Noah Syndergaard pitching 13.9 $6,900
Full Game Details →